{ "ticker": { "uuid": "747fe9ba-2cec-421e-ae09-9b2ebd96d56d", "symbol": "AVMA", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS MODERATE ALLOCATION ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.53, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.903, "architecture_energy": 52.402, "architecture_maturity": 33.679, "architecture_confidence": 62.312, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.51, "rotation_up": 49.56, "upward_expansion": 78.48, "deceleration": 68.57, "rotation_down": 27.36, "downward_expansion": 7.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.95992, 72.779052, 72.261015, 71.352084 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 73.919, "trend_reference": 70.257056, "distance_from_trend": 0.052122, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.637271, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260615, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.534351, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.070473, "excess_performance": -0.055151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052122, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0366, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.260615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000224, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025344, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016409, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070473, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.608078, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44913, "relative_activity": 1.349576, "balance": 1.608078, "dry_up": 1.389518, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015862, "annualized_volatility": 0.095979, "from_high_reference": -0.003518, "from_low_reference": 0.208695 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.257056, "fair_value_reference": 58.637271, "structural_low": 65.499983, "invalidation": "A 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47.528097, "energy": 41.008537, "activity_lines": [ 72.478213, 72.486387, 71.796099, 70.923202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.5723, "volume": 47054, "typical_volume": 31853.25, "trend": 70.03097, "fair_value": 58.471833, "relative_strength": -0.981676, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.30358, "energy": 38.487987, "activity_lines": [ 72.497793, 72.517094, 71.978893, 71.101243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.919, "volume": 44913, "typical_volume": 33279.35, "trend": 70.257056, "fair_value": 58.637271, "relative_strength": -2.534351, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.90342, "energy": 52.401926, "activity_lines": [ 72.95992, 72.779052, 72.261015, 71.352084 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }