{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74903241-5fab-48e8-8f10-3895239aeeb8", "symbol": "LOGI", "name": "Logitech International SA", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.822, "architecture_energy": 18.843, "architecture_maturity": 23.088, "architecture_confidence": 43.454, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.94, "rotation_up": 40.07, "upward_expansion": 59.45, "deceleration": 62.62, "rotation_down": 19.85, "downward_expansion": 14.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.434667, 103.278545, 104.521762, 102.19372 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 106.33, "trend_reference": 98.957, "distance_from_trend": 0.074507, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 89.157401, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.19261, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.557668, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.162712, "excess_performance": -0.024742, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018004, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.19261, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095577, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024989, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.162712, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767978, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4530135, "relative_activity": 0.851037, "balance": 0.767978, "dry_up": 1.198919, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092726, "annualized_volatility": 0.386536, "from_high_reference": -0.179932, "from_low_reference": 0.276164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.957, "fair_value_reference": 89.157401, "structural_low": 85.55, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.022002, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00405, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.224947, "worst_return": -0.07974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.038527, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.04861, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.258065, "worst_return": -0.164296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.146986, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.012768, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.421089, "worst_return": -0.169332, "sufficient": false }, { 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"relative_strength": -14.183977, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.675801, "energy": 22.711055, "activity_lines": [ 100.263333, 104.876182, 103.301238, 100.690774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 102.83, "volume": 5153135, "typical_volume": 5153616.1, "trend": 98.492, "fair_value": 88.372932, "relative_strength": -9.489429, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.340048, "energy": 22.239151, "activity_lines": [ 100.422, 104.089273, 103.543952, 100.967527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 105.78, "volume": 4920474, "typical_volume": 5161137.45, "trend": 98.509333, "fair_value": 88.625864, "relative_strength": -5.247027, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.83124, "energy": 14.878105, "activity_lines": [ 102.096, 103.958, 104.01581, 101.43772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.48, "volume": 10924022, "typical_volume": 5449140.75, "trend": 98.582667, "fair_value": 88.876617, "relative_strength": -8.607419, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.284318, "energy": 9.146917, "activity_lines": [ 102.794, 103.176, 104.108619, 101.693892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 106.33, "volume": 4530135, "typical_volume": 5323078.9, "trend": 98.957, "fair_value": 89.157401, "relative_strength": -9.557668, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.821978, "energy": 18.842569, "activity_lines": [ 104.434667, 103.278545, 104.521762, 102.19372 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }