{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "74905701-eb2c-491f-b7c5-70cc67dfeb62",
    "symbol": "FGD",
    "name": "First Trust Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index Fund",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.702,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -10.742,
    "architecture_energy": 61.665,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.288,
    "architecture_confidence": 52.729,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.47,
        "rotation_up": 14.02,
        "upward_expansion": 58.06,
        "deceleration": 65.76,
        "rotation_down": 54.79,
        "downward_expansion": 52.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        571.556387
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 568.0,
    "trend_reference": 565.962148,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003601,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 419.590718,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3537,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.164403,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.071369,
    "excess_performance": 0.126036,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003601,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025407,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.3537,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048568,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061644,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035031,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071369,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.002948,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130751,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022173,
      "from_low_reference": 0.544158
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 565.962148,
      "fair_value_reference": 419.590718,
      "structural_low": 530.162781,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 4.8e-05,
        "positive_rate": 0.52,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002918,
        "regime_survival": 0.44,
        "best_return": 0.437757,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.001001,
        "positive_rate": 0.916667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.916667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.439555,
        "worst_return": -0.176647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.001572,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.17611,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.175202,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "relative_strength": 9.66746,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 53.734628,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "energy": 43.959764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 26.55,
        "trend": 551.939164,
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        "relative_strength": 11.635895,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 15.049011,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 8.979471,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.55,
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        "energy": 30.168126,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.55,
        "trend": 560.917186,
        "fair_value": 415.372901,
        "relative_strength": 9.048382,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 43.254189,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 568.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.0,
        "trend": 562.178426,
        "fair_value": 416.166325,
        "relative_strength": 8.293915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -15.76194,
        "energy": 49.850504,
        "activity_lines": [
          568.855098,
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          574.128986,
          570.673741
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 568.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.0,
        "trend": 563.439667,
        "fair_value": 416.959749,
        "relative_strength": 8.138093,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -11.391679,
        "energy": 50.985791,
        "activity_lines": [
          568.0,
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          573.390981,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 568.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.0,
        "trend": 564.700907,
        "fair_value": 418.291053,
        "relative_strength": 6.719337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -12.611175,
        "energy": 61.20614,
        "activity_lines": [
          568.0,
          570.332087,
          572.704912,
          571.343542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 568.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.0,
        "trend": 565.962148,
        "fair_value": 419.590718,
        "relative_strength": 6.164403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -10.742161,
        "energy": 61.66455,
        "activity_lines": [
          568.0,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}