{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7491d261-dc1c-44c4-98d0-3168199a9e14", "symbol": "SUNDARMFIN", "name": "Sundaram Finance Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.894, "architecture_energy": 10.442, "architecture_maturity": 59.299, "architecture_confidence": 63.508, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.05, "rotation_up": 29.53, "upward_expansion": 27.84, "deceleration": 46.28, "rotation_down": 23.25, "downward_expansion": 47.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 4565.339941, 4527.276687, 4507.246819, 4603.739144 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4604.200195, "trend_reference": 4763.147477, "distance_from_trend": -0.03337, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4402.055321, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.262267, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.153484, "excess_performance": -0.109775, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03337, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030638, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.045921, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073034, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022623, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029346, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.153484, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.563656, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 509785, "relative_activity": 1.900046, "balance": 0.563656, "dry_up": 1.15983, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052536, "annualized_volatility": 0.310352, "from_high_reference": -0.183942, "from_low_reference": 0.131685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4763.147477, "fair_value_reference": 4402.055321, "structural_low": 4068.446539, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.004767, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.003281, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.141823, "worst_return": -0.162898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.04955, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.052254, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.144123, "worst_return": -0.209633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.091743, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.083973, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.213581, "worst_return": -0.190995, "sufficient": false 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4430.799805, "volume": 233498, "typical_volume": 277225.1, "trend": 4827.357666, "fair_value": 4363.395502, "relative_strength": -5.074487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.875277, "energy": 25.082309, "activity_lines": [ 4517.698698, 4436.516815, 4509.711616, 4648.53243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4447.799805, "volume": 216937, "typical_volume": 267541.7, "trend": 4804.490446, "fair_value": 4375.217504, "relative_strength": -2.30118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.916676, "energy": 19.509658, "activity_lines": [ 4492.835124, 4442.962198, 4493.250163, 4624.044826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4669.799805, "volume": 284516, "typical_volume": 267524.9, "trend": 4784.247624, "fair_value": 4388.911706, "relative_strength": -0.077976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.882539, "energy": 14.402447, "activity_lines": [ 4542.253158, 4492.685769, 4502.256329, 4615.355108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4604.200195, "volume": 509785, "typical_volume": 268301.45, "trend": 4763.147477, "fair_value": 4402.055321, "relative_strength": -2.262267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.893972, "energy": 10.44196, "activity_lines": [ 4565.339941, 4527.276687, 4507.246819, 4603.739144 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }