{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7491e5b1-b30b-42a6-a829-1d7e67ff4277",
    "symbol": "KIMBERA",
    "name": "Kimberly-Clark de M\u00e9xico, S. A. B. de C. V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 68.393,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 31.738,
    "architecture_energy": 34.729,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.628,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.206,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.02,
        "rotation_up": 64.48,
        "upward_expansion": 41.33,
        "deceleration": 33.74,
        "rotation_down": 14.26,
        "downward_expansion": 16.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.934667,
        39.185381,
        38.804479,
        39.178619
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 40.73,
    "trend_reference": 39.565967,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.02942,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.553707,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213875,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.858575,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.002171,
    "excess_performance": 0.056838,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02942,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012235,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213875,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04936,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048586,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097172,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002171,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.252028,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9339094,
      "relative_activity": 0.635386,
      "balance": 1.252028,
      "dry_up": 0.98201,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034941,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.21184,
      "from_high_reference": -0.061846,
      "from_low_reference": 0.244458
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.565967,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.553707,
      "structural_low": 36.088627,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.051112,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029841,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.116971,
        "worst_return": -0.11467,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.024869,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001978,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.144483,
        "worst_return": -0.087808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.021535,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073434,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.186612,
        "worst_return": -0.209172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.111761,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05474,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.439543,
        "worst_return": -0.206576,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.003097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.027717,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.195347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 21142529.6,
        "trend": 39.087742,
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        "relative_strength": -5.072544,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.267513,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -5.334242,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -6.551198,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -1.919367,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -56.830685,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 807117,
        "typical_volume": 16893223.65,
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        "fair_value": 33.412964,
        "relative_strength": -1.312422,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -42.067005,
        "energy": 27.603188,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 33.429871,
        "relative_strength": -1.194736,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.138727,
        "energy": 21.639593,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.669998,
        "volume": 17754199,
        "typical_volume": 16053659.6,
        "trend": 39.315696,
        "fair_value": 33.452288,
        "relative_strength": 0.083745,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.303526,
        "energy": 21.701331,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.3738,
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          38.48822,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.700001,
        "volume": 15567044,
        "typical_volume": 15627077.55,
        "trend": 39.374115,
        "fair_value": 33.480739,
        "relative_strength": 3.066051,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.607471,
        "energy": 16.459794,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.849781,
          38.319089,
          38.539278,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.200001,
        "volume": 15075180,
        "typical_volume": 15176593.5,
        "trend": 39.458411,
        "fair_value": 33.517345,
        "relative_strength": 3.500661,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.546539,
        "energy": 17.871754,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.367334,
          38.732558,
          38.644132,
          39.096581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.73,
        "volume": 9339094,
        "typical_volume": 14698308.75,
        "trend": 39.565967,
        "fair_value": 33.553707,
        "relative_strength": 4.858575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.737666,
        "energy": 34.728888,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.934667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}