{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74973f72-5c10-4398-bbcf-bdf77a6eea8d", "symbol": "AKAM", "name": "Akamai Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.643, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -5.203, "architecture_energy": 15.757, "architecture_maturity": 31.675, "architecture_confidence": 83.198, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.01, "rotation_up": 16.03, "upward_expansion": 41.44, "deceleration": 77.35, "rotation_down": 43.11, "downward_expansion": 37.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.073333, 117.700182, 123.138905, 120.126645 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 110.54, "trend_reference": 114.634667, "distance_from_trend": -0.035719, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 98.095673, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.126859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.705454, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.1626, "excess_performance": -0.024854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.035719, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114021, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.126859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.426565, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027055, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.433078, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1626, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360674, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24461864, "relative_activity": 1.034317, "balance": 0.360674, "dry_up": 0.760148, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135235, "annualized_volatility": 0.787418, "from_high_reference": -0.331883, "from_low_reference": 0.569725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.634667, "fair_value_reference": 98.095673, "structural_low": 88.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.002168, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001098, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.130199, "worst_return": -0.019976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.072159, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033405, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.154788, "worst_return": -0.16328, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.06123, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.017038, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.279246, "worst_return": -0.076197, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"gate": "up", "direction": 22.659685, "energy": 25.075886, "activity_lines": [ 120.454667, 129.055273, 125.245524, 119.380344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 120.19, "volume": 13683119, "typical_volume": 24121747.8, "trend": 111.986333, "fair_value": 97.778494, "relative_strength": 11.197648, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.526195, "energy": 21.216876, "activity_lines": [ 119.780667, 126.258182, 125.306333, 119.976215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 115.37, "volume": 18912011, "typical_volume": 24153610.65, "trend": 112.884667, "fair_value": 97.911378, "relative_strength": 8.128562, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.066144, "energy": 12.548847, "activity_lines": [ 118.387333, 123.085091, 124.804286, 120.194516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.18, "volume": 14853758, "typical_volume": 23970276.35, "trend": 113.887333, "fair_value": 98.055929, "relative_strength": 6.930208, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.422258, "energy": 9.666997, "activity_lines": [ 117.566667, 120.523091, 124.210429, 120.342602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.54, "volume": 24461864, "typical_volume": 23650247.3, "trend": 114.634667, "fair_value": 98.095673, "relative_strength": -2.705454, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.203306, "energy": 15.756993, "activity_lines": [ 115.073333, 117.700182, 123.138905, 120.126645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }