{ "ticker": { "uuid": "749aec6b-ca11-4924-bd83-ab26a06ad278", "symbol": "LANNA", "name": "Lanna Resources Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 57.069, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 35.823, "architecture_energy": 32.253, "architecture_maturity": 8.035, "architecture_confidence": 70.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.51, "rotation_up": 62.87, "upward_expansion": 40.71, "deceleration": 32.83, "rotation_down": 14.56, "downward_expansion": 15.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.82, 14.689091, 14.610952, 14.681741 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.1, "trend_reference": 14.786774, "distance_from_trend": 0.021183, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.549556, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114428, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.393883, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.000214, "excess_performance": -0.192111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021183, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001605, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114428, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019538, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.123939, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043632, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.000214, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843016, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2651200, "relative_activity": 1.03096, "balance": 0.843016, "dry_up": 0.658874, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020377, "annualized_volatility": 0.106009, "from_high_reference": -0.084848, "from_low_reference": 0.078571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.786774, "fair_value_reference": 13.549556, "structural_low": 14.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.007094, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.023953, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.141892, "worst_return": -0.033113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033557, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.052237, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.091732, "worst_return": -0.021413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.012926, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027634, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.068323, "worst_return": -0.083823, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.000206, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019355, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006369, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.01948, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006579, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-23", 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"trend": 14.777742, "fair_value": 13.480629, "relative_strength": -16.992021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.131009, "energy": 14.943107, "activity_lines": [ 14.606667, 14.521818, 14.581429, 14.677357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.6, "volume": 2122900, "typical_volume": 3074100.0, "trend": 14.777312, "fair_value": 13.503227, "relative_strength": -17.790139, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.466207, "energy": 18.510162, "activity_lines": [ 14.626667, 14.543636, 14.571398, 14.66589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.7, "volume": 744100, "typical_volume": 2696470.0, "trend": 14.776989, "fair_value": 13.52511, "relative_strength": -15.710359, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.123821, "energy": 14.013489, "activity_lines": [ 14.666667, 14.581818, 14.570952, 14.660902 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.1, "volume": 2651200, "typical_volume": 2571585.0, "trend": 14.786774, "fair_value": 13.549556, "relative_strength": -12.393883, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.823377, "energy": 32.253453, "activity_lines": [ 14.82, 14.689091, 14.610952, 14.681741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }