{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "74a5605a-2e98-4689-8a46-0822b1598199",
    "symbol": "XONA",
    "name": "Exxon Mobil Corporation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.985,
    "architecture_energy": 38.497,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.959,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.825,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.71,
        "rotation_up": 66.11,
        "upward_expansion": 68.36,
        "deceleration": 56.38,
        "rotation_down": 9.12,
        "downward_expansion": 11.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        132.926665,
        129.032363,
        128.180506,
        128.567153
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 132.080002,
    "trend_reference": 127.367219,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037002,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 101.624982,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.29968,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.696837,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.065738,
    "excess_performance": 0.001098,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037002,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076725,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.29968,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056903,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066968,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079146,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065738,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.386076,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15896,
      "relative_activity": 0.287902,
      "balance": 0.386076,
      "dry_up": 0.413796,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05834,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.339589,
      "from_high_reference": -0.131552,
      "from_low_reference": 0.513528
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 127.367219,
      "fair_value_reference": 101.624982,
      "structural_low": 117.040001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.029317,
        "positive_rate": 0.551724,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.551724,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014605,
        "regime_survival": 0.724138,
        "best_return": 0.204453,
        "worst_return": -0.108731,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
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        "worst_return": -0.13696,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.137305,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.066061,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.865027,
        "energy": 25.359958,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 131.51149,
        "volume": 44145,
        "typical_volume": 54886.95,
        "trend": 113.851196,
        "fair_value": 97.930462,
        "relative_strength": 24.418818,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.209817,
        "energy": 26.7297,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 121.987419,
        "volume": 99427,
        "typical_volume": 59237.15,
        "trend": 114.792398,
        "fair_value": 98.157092,
        "relative_strength": 14.611454,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.41326,
        "energy": 23.956968,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 134.240005,
        "volume": 58704,
        "typical_volume": 61868.15,
        "trend": 116.140394,
        "fair_value": 98.455956,
        "relative_strength": 27.220406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.760327,
        "energy": 21.825128,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 133.039993,
        "volume": 82906,
        "typical_volume": 65544.85,
        "trend": 117.339577,
        "fair_value": 98.744777,
        "relative_strength": 20.461262,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.959598,
        "energy": 29.559114,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.427103,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 124.720001,
        "volume": 73888,
        "typical_volume": 65294.55,
        "trend": 118.29131,
        "fair_value": 98.981124,
        "relative_strength": 11.296962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.950881,
        "energy": 17.096074,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.931088,
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          129.568316,
          125.206317
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 130.800003,
        "volume": 9325,
        "typical_volume": 63887.1,
        "trend": 119.368079,
        "fair_value": 99.244862,
        "relative_strength": 17.515766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.270801,
        "energy": 23.192764,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.497828,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 128.059998,
        "volume": 74433,
        "typical_volume": 65731.85,
        "trend": 120.284617,
        "fair_value": 99.51254,
        "relative_strength": 15.017971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.894872,
        "energy": 16.413864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 119.760002,
        "volume": 78581,
        "typical_volume": 66667.0,
        "trend": 120.950083,
        "fair_value": 99.742497,
        "relative_strength": 5.737104,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 8.181979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 119.620003,
        "volume": 42479,
        "typical_volume": 66602.2,
        "trend": 121.65157,
        "fair_value": 99.943629,
        "relative_strength": 6.449016,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.916011,
        "energy": 16.608379,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.176002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 119.800003,
        "volume": 21478,
        "typical_volume": 65776.8,
        "trend": 122.312463,
        "fair_value": 100.172466,
        "relative_strength": 1.673648,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.295646,
        "energy": 36.723743,
        "activity_lines": [
          121.578669,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 121.599998,
        "volume": 2075,
        "typical_volume": 63896.95,
        "trend": 123.047137,
        "fair_value": 100.429701,
        "relative_strength": 5.718401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.0489,
        "energy": 40.950496,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.909334,
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          126.289019
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 129.479996,
        "volume": 5313,
        "typical_volume": 63148.0,
        "trend": 124.081228,
        "fair_value": 100.723055,
        "relative_strength": 12.930492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.446433,
        "energy": 20.389998,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.479999,
          124.390545,
          126.54533,
          126.704042
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 137.779999,
        "volume": 52195,
        "typical_volume": 58987.95,
        "trend": 125.348673,
        "fair_value": 101.065714,
        "relative_strength": 18.025831,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.23523,
        "energy": 23.763767,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.722665,
          126.512,
          127.388773,
          127.587834
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 134.899994,
        "volume": 17984,
        "typical_volume": 56718.45,
        "trend": 126.451868,
        "fair_value": 101.363705,
        "relative_strength": 12.534518,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.665879,
        "energy": 35.561255,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.803997,
          128.045453,
          127.919481,
          128.204048
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 132.080002,
        "volume": 15896,
        "typical_volume": 55213.2,
        "trend": 127.367219,
        "fair_value": 101.624982,
        "relative_strength": 6.696837,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.984831,
        "energy": 38.497303,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.926665,
          129.032363,
          128.180506,
          128.567153
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}