{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "74a6c5e3-ad49-4eed-9437-a375f6a15fd0",
    "symbol": "TCL-B",
    "name": "Transcontinental Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.775,
    "architecture_energy": 37.517,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.792,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.71,
        "rotation_up": 49.47,
        "upward_expansion": 78.05,
        "deceleration": 65.53,
        "rotation_down": 25.23,
        "downward_expansion": 7.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.115333,
        7.01841,
        6.886987,
        6.642495
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.24,
    "trend_reference": 6.184596,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.170651,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.668709,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.973446,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 23.175654,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.508333,
    "excess_performance": 0.387912,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170651,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160632,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.973446,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056398,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231757,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076374,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.508333,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.092166,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 200,
      "relative_activity": 0.029455,
      "balance": 1.092166,
      "dry_up": 0.765832,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075505,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.726708,
      "from_high_reference": -0.276,
      "from_low_reference": 0.997411
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.184596,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.668709,
      "structural_low": 4.59,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.021428,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001305,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.391566,
        "worst_return": -0.186894,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.052206,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035433,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.557529,
        "worst_return": -0.140352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.150311,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059095,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.258341,
        "worst_return": -0.125709,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.395704,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.145425,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.413687,
        "worst_return": -0.317089,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.108252,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.028303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019204,
        "active": false
      },
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
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        "return": 0.063125,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 6.873806,
        "volume": 6700,
        "typical_volume": 25255.0,
        "trend": 4.951474,
        "fair_value": 3.265618,
        "relative_strength": 36.074768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 58.926525,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 5400,
        "typical_volume": 25235.0,
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        "fair_value": 3.293392,
        "relative_strength": 30.813035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 50.709575,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 25460.0,
        "trend": 5.153058,
        "fair_value": 3.32193,
        "relative_strength": 35.013056,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 45.005263,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 4800,
        "typical_volume": 25615.0,
        "trend": 5.239728,
        "fair_value": 3.348112,
        "relative_strength": 24.700548,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 30.887438,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.82075
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 25695.0,
        "trend": 5.328647,
        "fair_value": 3.374612,
        "relative_strength": 24.101591,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 6.228144,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25525.0,
        "trend": 5.405977,
        "fair_value": 3.398883,
        "relative_strength": 18.352666,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.444054,
        "energy": 19.503841,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 6.357276,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25520.0,
        "trend": 5.487612,
        "fair_value": 3.423982,
        "relative_strength": 18.586864,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 17.734779,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 5900,
        "typical_volume": 25570.0,
        "trend": 5.556002,
        "fair_value": 3.447515,
        "relative_strength": 10.80495,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.475009,
        "energy": 15.928141,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.44,
        "volume": 3600,
        "typical_volume": 25535.0,
        "trend": 5.668842,
        "fair_value": 3.480536,
        "relative_strength": 37.198296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.943112,
        "energy": 30.26419,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.60796,
          6.544945,
          6.178376
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.37,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 25535.0,
        "trend": 5.782385,
        "fair_value": 3.512869,
        "relative_strength": 33.88919,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.241998,
        "energy": 57.286885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.18,
        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 25605.0,
        "trend": 5.865561,
        "fair_value": 3.544494,
        "relative_strength": 29.373025,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.740428,
        "energy": 67.136927,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.065145,
          6.818329,
          6.735566,
          6.378297
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.7,
        "volume": 3600,
        "typical_volume": 25785.0,
        "trend": 5.937688,
        "fair_value": 3.573444,
        "relative_strength": 20.198422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.499984,
        "energy": 68.163949,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.01133,
          6.8144,
          6.758957,
          6.432132
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.25,
        "volume": 5600,
        "typical_volume": 25065.0,
        "trend": 5.99343,
        "fair_value": 3.59951,
        "relative_strength": 11.344167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.598459,
        "energy": 27.212015,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.784667,
          6.728382,
          6.73051,
          6.452281
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.8,
        "volume": 11400,
        "typical_volume": 22865.0,
        "trend": 6.098262,
        "fair_value": 3.635851,
        "relative_strength": 38.121484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.201827,
        "energy": 45.404766,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.055333,
          6.935886,
          6.842129,
          6.568834
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.24,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 6790.0,
        "trend": 6.184596,
        "fair_value": 3.668709,
        "relative_strength": 23.175654,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.775011,
        "energy": 37.516653,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.115333,
          7.01841,
          6.886987,
          6.642495
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}