{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74bb1144-d64d-4179-8418-ba127ca6e1cb", "symbol": "9960", "name": "Dacome International Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.701, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.978, "architecture_energy": 21.825, "architecture_maturity": 53.344, "architecture_confidence": 76.913, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.29, "rotation_up": 29.57, "upward_expansion": 57.51, "deceleration": 87.74, "rotation_down": 26.62, "downward_expansion": 18.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.706381, 30.936542, 30.709032, 29.339751 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.9, "trend_reference": 27.291537, "distance_from_trend": 0.132219, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.231174, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330109, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.804895, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.394758, "excess_performance": -0.046614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152409, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330109, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132474, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068049, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077275, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.394758, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.099976, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58009, "relative_activity": 0.098932, "balance": 1.099976, "dry_up": 0.116673, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073375, "annualized_volatility": 0.373945, "from_high_reference": -0.099219, "from_low_reference": 0.578011 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.291537, "fair_value_reference": 23.231174, "structural_low": 20.772704, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.00283, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.025323, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.029126, "worst_return": -0.038397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.013592, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.000108, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.039525, "worst_return": -0.049764, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.060194, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.039539, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.183794, "worst_return": -0.001172, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.007195, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.141765, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.124884, "worst_return": -0.110494, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.029126, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029963, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011538, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007813, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043651, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034091, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003745, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012346, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.071223, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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"typical_volume": 586478.4, "trend": 25.918236, "fair_value": 23.027727, "relative_strength": 0.060167, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.739702, "energy": 48.348995, "activity_lines": [ 31.568793, 31.093221, 30.041922, 28.265591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.492043, "volume": 53492, "typical_volume": 587252.3, "trend": 26.267624, "fair_value": 23.079225, "relative_strength": -5.167368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.306826, "energy": 42.333542, "activity_lines": [ 31.292459, 31.011793, 30.260857, 28.560675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.492043, "volume": 58021, "typical_volume": 586750.2, "trend": 26.601131, "fair_value": 23.131716, "relative_strength": -3.444463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.921742, "energy": 37.137306, "activity_lines": [ 31.016125, 30.977143, 30.437139, 28.833218 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.5, "volume": 104123, "typical_volume": 589653.55, "trend": 26.947608, "fair_value": 23.181776, "relative_strength": -5.268828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.248132, "energy": 27.402967, "activity_lines": [ 30.742443, 30.937876, 30.574702, 29.084758 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.9, "volume": 58009, "typical_volume": 586351.4, "trend": 27.291537, "fair_value": 23.231174, "relative_strength": -6.804895, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.977635, "energy": 21.824863, "activity_lines": [ 30.706381, 30.936542, 30.709032, 29.339751 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }