{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74c64a0a-47ba-46a4-a239-28b5a6cd4114", "symbol": "AMBER", "name": "Amber Enterprises India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.023, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.788, "architecture_energy": 11.747, "architecture_maturity": 29.115, "architecture_confidence": 78.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.58, "rotation_up": 25.66, "upward_expansion": 45.39, "deceleration": 69.58, "rotation_down": 33.59, "downward_expansion": 34.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 7469.7, 7544.645455, 7649.311905, 7562.273118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7435.0, "trend_reference": 7350.566667, "distance_from_trend": 0.011487, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5730.828513, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297369, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.366825, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119729, "excess_performance": 0.163438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011487, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036013, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.297369, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.37371, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013668, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.251927, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.944509, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 956251, "relative_activity": 0.677708, "balance": 0.944509, "dry_up": 0.835218, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075909, "annualized_volatility": 0.542271, "from_high_reference": -0.171495, "from_low_reference": 0.376724 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7350.566667, "fair_value_reference": 5730.828513, "structural_low": 6120.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.027692, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.045465, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.308653, "worst_return": -0.112564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.100768, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.009594, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.236228, "worst_return": -0.019921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.185258, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.111027, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.646033, "worst_return": -0.201088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 2.246958, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.288319, "energy": 7.084251, "activity_lines": [ 7566.033333, 7611.145455, 7670.77619, 7545.275269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7424.5, "volume": 865761, "typical_volume": 1443059.8, "trend": 7313.716667, "fair_value": 5699.046783, "relative_strength": 2.004964, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.728463, "energy": 8.37803, "activity_lines": [ 7508.3, 7577.536364, 7661.87381, 7554.448387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7435.0, "volume": 956251, "typical_volume": 1411006.8, "trend": 7350.566667, "fair_value": 5730.828513, "relative_strength": 1.366825, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.788322, "energy": 11.747473, "activity_lines": [ 7469.7, 7544.645455, 7649.311905, 7562.273118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }