{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74ee6956-6710-4053-a98a-31dc2af90930", "symbol": "U2ST34", "name": "Unity Software Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.404, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.847, "architecture_energy": 83.122, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.6, "rotation_up": 76.84, "upward_expansion": 91.31, "deceleration": 45.03, "rotation_down": 10.25, "downward_expansion": 17.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.687333, 8.128364, 7.581524, 7.127032 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.73, "trend_reference": 6.962667, "distance_from_trend": 0.541076, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.38609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.452731, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.430437, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.640673, "excess_performance": 0.697721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.541076, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156688, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.452731, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.55062, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.154304, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.506574, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.640673, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.455765, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109350, "relative_activity": 2.318552, "balance": 1.455765, "dry_up": 1.044769, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090903, "annualized_volatility": 0.788643, "from_high_reference": -0.237385, "from_low_reference": 1.466667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.962667, "fair_value_reference": 7.38609, "structural_low": 4.35, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.058757, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.060099, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.422559, "worst_return": -0.45409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.143936, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.161604, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021886, "worst_return": -0.590801, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.050141, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.171896, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.072125, "worst_return": -0.32, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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19.809372, "activity_lines": [ 6.991333, 6.681091, 6.246714, 7.066172 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 7.48, "volume": 61068, "typical_volume": 245733.8, "trend": 8.153667, "fair_value": 7.513397, "relative_strength": -21.402307, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.582398, "energy": 22.147739, "activity_lines": [ 7.195333, 6.886545, 6.334714, 7.016086 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 6.94, "volume": 5922, "typical_volume": 245211.6, "trend": 8.061333, "fair_value": 7.492436, "relative_strength": -27.800174, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.858635, "energy": 17.5974, "activity_lines": [ 7.156, 6.949636, 6.388048, 6.937785 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 7.02, "volume": 32, "typical_volume": 233952.8, "trend": 7.940667, "fair_value": 7.479872, "relative_strength": -25.734014, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.38078, "energy": 18.508776, "activity_lines": [ 7.133333, 7.007455, 6.469238, 6.870602 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 7.27, "volume": 2148, "typical_volume": 176862.7, "trend": 7.805667, "fair_value": 7.459423, "relative_strength": -25.001607, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.311417, "energy": 13.696121, "activity_lines": [ 7.190667, 7.080727, 6.586143, 6.827333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 7.7, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 88557.25, "trend": 7.647667, "fair_value": 7.445577, "relative_strength": -20.833445, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.593994, "energy": 17.771343, "activity_lines": [ 7.333333, 7.216727, 6.740524, 6.820516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.86, "volume": 22974, "typical_volume": 79783.05, "trend": 7.489333, "fair_value": 7.428077, "relative_strength": -20.429102, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.105907, "energy": 32.806762, "activity_lines": [ 7.526, 7.359455, 6.896476, 6.834215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.48, "volume": 7951, "typical_volume": 63068.95, "trend": 7.318333, "fair_value": 7.407949, "relative_strength": -21.546203, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.632325, "energy": 38.300815, "activity_lines": [ 7.566667, 7.408909, 7.001333, 6.833613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.28, "volume": 57705, "typical_volume": 53256.95, "trend": 7.139333, "fair_value": 7.386218, "relative_strength": -23.082398, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.226066, "energy": 34.72471, "activity_lines": [ 7.504667, 7.409455, 7.073619, 6.83114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.0, "volume": 22092, "typical_volume": 46242.45, "trend": 7.004333, "fair_value": 7.374872, "relative_strength": -16.725425, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.394645, "energy": 40.909592, "activity_lines": [ 7.665333, 7.535273, 7.204333, 6.886667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.73, "volume": 109350, "typical_volume": 47163.05, "trend": 6.962667, "fair_value": 7.38609, "relative_strength": 15.430437, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.847162, "energy": 83.122341, "activity_lines": [ 8.687333, 8.128364, 7.581524, 7.127032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }