{ "ticker": { "uuid": "750906c4-b457-4dbf-8ea5-525dd4734290", "symbol": "002909", "name": "Guangzhou Jointas Chemical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.583, "architecture_energy": 61.544, "architecture_maturity": 60.522, "architecture_confidence": 95.122, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 23.33, "upward_expansion": 11.23, "deceleration": 58.99, "rotation_down": 59.02, "downward_expansion": 84.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.755333, 4.861273, 5.349286, 5.746602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.0, "trend_reference": 6.274667, "distance_from_trend": -0.203145, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.976326, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.163366, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.604089, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.327957, "excess_performance": -0.335357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203145, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088823, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.163366, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.260349, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256041, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070129, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.327957, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.660256, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28558376, "relative_activity": 0.734295, "balance": 0.660256, "dry_up": 0.951583, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096308, "annualized_volatility": 0.36605, "from_high_reference": -0.442586, "from_low_reference": 0.201923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.274667, "fair_value_reference": 5.976326, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.8, "volume": 36931734, "typical_volume": 40653270.45, "trend": 6.560667, "fair_value": 6.054097, "relative_strength": -34.546386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.064011, "energy": 91.206258, "activity_lines": [ 5.020667, 5.372, 5.85381, 6.198344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.64, "volume": 38573440, "typical_volume": 40770772.55, "trend": 6.499, "fair_value": 6.035234, "relative_strength": -29.826765, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.892292, "energy": 90.42904, "activity_lines": [ 4.856, 5.176727, 5.700476, 6.07443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.43, "volume": 45625627, "typical_volume": 40168782.9, "trend": 6.417333, "fair_value": 6.0149, "relative_strength": -32.685803, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.133311, "energy": 88.252197, "activity_lines": [ 4.68, 4.981636, 5.541857, 5.940946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.74, "volume": 35279300, "typical_volume": 39918050.1, "trend": 6.335, "fair_value": 5.994438, "relative_strength": -26.301807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.344945, "energy": 72.69519, "activity_lines": [ 4.664667, 4.880545, 5.42719, 5.832731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.0, "volume": 28558376, "typical_volume": 38892239.9, "trend": 6.274667, "fair_value": 5.976326, "relative_strength": -25.604089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.583412, "energy": 61.543981, "activity_lines": [ 4.755333, 4.861273, 5.349286, 5.746602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }