{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "75116940-830e-4dc2-9710-c17765810ca3",
    "symbol": "002638",
    "name": "Dongguan Kingsun Optoelectronic Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.763,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -32.876,
    "architecture_energy": 47.445,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.135,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.031,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.33,
        "rotation_up": 18.74,
        "upward_expansion": 16.9,
        "deceleration": 46.69,
        "rotation_down": 62.48,
        "downward_expansion": 56.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.579333,
        3.687273,
        3.960143,
        3.978409
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.71,
    "trend_reference": 3.861333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.039192,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.644038,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403157,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.123826,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.212418,
    "excess_performance": 0.205019,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039192,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072096,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.403157,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.464457,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071238,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.263574,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212418,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.928325,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111571285,
      "relative_activity": 0.597713,
      "balance": 0.928325,
      "dry_up": 0.699773,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.115074,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.544917,
      "from_high_reference": -0.282398,
      "from_low_reference": 0.686364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.861333,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.644038,
      "structural_low": 2.93,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.025906,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004732,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.1,
        "worst_return": -0.071429,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.04712,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037441,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.364706,
        "worst_return": -0.053571,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.036649,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158829,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.417647,
        "worst_return": -0.178571,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.035527,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076684,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.21466,
        "worst_return": -0.285714,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.132701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.205761,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.147368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.12,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.104803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.141732,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.101538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.05122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.158809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066092,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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        "typical_volume": 246406733.1,
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 242004245.05,
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        "fair_value": 2.640128,
        "relative_strength": 3.317012,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 228235369.75,
        "trend": 3.827667,
        "fair_value": 2.640897,
        "relative_strength": 5.222485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.071,
        "energy": 48.607217,
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          3.618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.51,
        "volume": 101998375,
        "typical_volume": 205142054.45,
        "trend": 3.840667,
        "fair_value": 2.641282,
        "relative_strength": 7.23894,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.274491,
        "energy": 49.038384,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.560667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.71,
        "volume": 111571285,
        "typical_volume": 186663491.2,
        "trend": 3.861333,
        "fair_value": 2.644038,
        "relative_strength": 7.123826,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.87613,
        "energy": 47.445084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}