{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7527155c-a876-4012-bedb-6304af76870f", "symbol": "AWZ", "name": "Multi-Chem Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.356, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.964, "architecture_energy": 81.023, "architecture_maturity": 43.872, "architecture_confidence": 71.955, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.04, "rotation_up": 71.64, "upward_expansion": 89.63, "deceleration": 50.3, "rotation_down": 17.49, "downward_expansion": 16.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.761333, 3.721273, 3.678402, 3.603453 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.84, "trend_reference": 3.496005, "distance_from_trend": 0.098397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.597158, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.478539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.341068, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.191128, "excess_performance": 0.036293, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048239, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.478539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044032, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043411, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091265, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.191128, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.553176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12200, "relative_activity": 0.305535, "balance": 1.553176, "dry_up": 0.989231, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01863, "annualized_volatility": 0.094389, "from_high_reference": -0.010309, "from_low_reference": 0.278573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.496005, "fair_value_reference": 2.597158, "structural_low": 3.214352, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": 0.010553, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.000863, "regime_survival": 0.804348, "best_return": 0.288703, "worst_return": -0.0989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.072043, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.038106, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.209401, "worst_return": -0.038251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.124329, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.093597, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.283973, "worst_return": -0.032787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 66295.0, "trend": 3.425832, "fair_value": 2.536519, "relative_strength": -5.413701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.464817, "energy": 50.962863, "activity_lines": [ 3.66, 3.660909, 3.603441, 3.525632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.72, "volume": 32400, "typical_volume": 51855.0, "trend": 3.443636, "fair_value": 2.551482, "relative_strength": -4.438212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.183178, "energy": 61.566029, "activity_lines": [ 3.68, 3.671455, 3.621974, 3.54461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.68, "volume": 34200, "typical_volume": 48180.0, "trend": 3.458841, "fair_value": 2.566624, "relative_strength": -6.70489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.730957, "energy": 53.939771, "activity_lines": [ 3.684, 3.673636, 3.634831, 3.55986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.77, "volume": 79200, "typical_volume": 47775.0, "trend": 3.475466, "fair_value": 2.582198, "relative_strength": -5.007475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.080311, "energy": 65.271825, "activity_lines": [ 3.714667, 3.692182, 3.654538, 3.579935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.84, "volume": 12200, "typical_volume": 39930.0, "trend": 3.496005, "fair_value": 2.597158, "relative_strength": -4.341068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.96438, "energy": 81.023112, "activity_lines": [ 3.761333, 3.721273, 3.678402, 3.603453 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }