{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7538f1cf-e19d-4a28-9e49-c1c0c7538cd6", "symbol": "KLA", "name": "KLA Corporation", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.526, "architecture_energy": 27.006, "architecture_maturity": 66.196, "architecture_confidence": 93.011, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.32, "rotation_up": 20.14, "upward_expansion": 55.37, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 43.18, "downward_expansion": 23.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 175.458667, 188.761456, 183.41512, 172.070449 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 171.419998, "trend_reference": 157.273227, "distance_from_trend": 0.08995, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 85.072454, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.014988, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.715282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.420006, "excess_performance": 0.355366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08995, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238271, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.014988, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146767, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.217153, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305704, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.420006, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.029894, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18455, "relative_activity": 1.474177, "balance": 1.029894, "dry_up": 1.931427, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131717, "annualized_volatility": 0.527709, "from_high_reference": -0.242008, "from_low_reference": 1.40487 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.273227, "fair_value_reference": 85.072454, "structural_low": 112.255848, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.095615, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.066302, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.283898, "worst_return": -0.063675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.144831, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.104312, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.259231, "worst_return": -0.024688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.293665, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.265914, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.67191, "worst_return": -0.041757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040412, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.001494, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031976, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.119657, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.25089, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", 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182.019306, 168.185491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 188.460007, "volume": 21528, "typical_volume": 11326.5, "trend": 153.735963, "fair_value": 83.500015, "relative_strength": 43.599714, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.228786, "energy": 37.952395, "activity_lines": [ 195.40067, 199.151638, 184.182473, 170.599951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 160.64, "volume": 31082, "typical_volume": 12188.1, "trend": 155.531309, "fair_value": 84.247443, "relative_strength": 18.543982, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.018612, "energy": 24.198719, "activity_lines": [ 181.786002, 192.946365, 183.370897, 171.045372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 171.419998, "volume": 18455, "typical_volume": 12518.85, "trend": 157.273227, "fair_value": 85.072454, "relative_strength": 21.715282, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.526332, "energy": 27.00626, "activity_lines": [ 175.458667, 188.761456, 183.41512, 172.070449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }