{ "ticker": { "uuid": "754128c1-0f95-46b0-92bd-162127a23cfd", "symbol": "601126", "name": "Beijing Sifang Automation Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.624, "architecture_energy": 58.925, "architecture_maturity": 12.862, "architecture_confidence": 63.732, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.15, "rotation_up": 14.07, "upward_expansion": 27.07, "deceleration": 50.67, "rotation_down": 70.49, "downward_expansion": 54.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.365334, 50.091273, 56.980106, 55.459918 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.970001, "trend_reference": 51.696814, "distance_from_trend": -0.110777, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.508425, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.955469, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 16.840309, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.236932, "excess_performance": 0.280135, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110777, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.213792, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.955469, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.303755, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.168403, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.902424, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.236932, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767016, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 150622264, "relative_activity": 1.237881, "balance": 0.767016, "dry_up": 1.142178, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217721, "annualized_volatility": 0.792116, "from_high_reference": -0.477839, "from_low_reference": 1.841989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.696814, "fair_value_reference": 23.508425, "structural_low": 34.450505, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.09162, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.036538, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.335703, "worst_return": -0.214444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.070963, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.075551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.209321, "worst_return": -0.113799, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.135727, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.202383, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.302679, "worst_return": 0.124802, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068358, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1042, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05638, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02355, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.079126, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2026-04-10", 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"typical_volume": 121677505.7, "trend": 51.696814, "fair_value": 23.508425, "relative_strength": 16.840309, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.624489, "energy": 58.924659, "activity_lines": [ 43.365334, 50.091273, 56.980106, 55.459918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }