{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7543df00-e7a0-48e3-86d2-3247e06123ad", "symbol": "DAMODARIND", "name": "Damodar Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.534, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.068, "architecture_energy": 14.676, "architecture_maturity": 16.362, "architecture_confidence": 80.911, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.97, "rotation_up": 18.9, "upward_expansion": 47.36, "deceleration": 82.61, "rotation_down": 40.57, "downward_expansion": 30.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.926667, 29.775091, 29.935667, 29.020602 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 28.49, "trend_reference": 28.019667, "distance_from_trend": 0.016786, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.312116, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.293265, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.173525, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.038265, "excess_performance": 0.081974, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016786, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010908, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.293265, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037379, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051735, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051467, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.038265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.626277, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17843, "relative_activity": 0.386374, "balance": 1.626277, "dry_up": 0.340722, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095553, "annualized_volatility": 0.495307, "from_high_reference": -0.269487, "from_low_reference": 0.4245 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.019667, "fair_value_reference": 40.312116, "structural_low": 20.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.036122, "positive_rate": 0.347826, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": -0.049336, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.259512, "worst_return": -0.106509, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.083318, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.109456, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.550469, "worst_return": -0.107769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.09988, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.178228, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.568075, 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"blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.081036, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.001873, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.010359, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.089923, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 45.450001, "volume": 115319, "typical_volume": 117170.85, "trend": 44.835, "fair_value": 43.813465, "relative_strength": 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"trend": 28.094, "fair_value": 40.6575, "relative_strength": -1.330152, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.738205, "energy": 24.990824, "activity_lines": [ 30.886667, 30.901818, 29.950238, 28.909183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.84, "volume": 10893, "typical_volume": 55098.1, "trend": 28.050334, "fair_value": 40.535962, "relative_strength": -1.727367, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.050396, "energy": 17.47813, "activity_lines": [ 30.166, 30.564, 29.984, 28.957312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.540001, "volume": 10153, "typical_volume": 51906.35, "trend": 27.998667, "fair_value": 40.420192, "relative_strength": -4.754916, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.812286, "energy": 16.710822, "activity_lines": [ 29.460667, 30.156364, 29.973, 28.988903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.49, "volume": 17843, "typical_volume": 46180.6, "trend": 28.019667, "fair_value": 40.312116, "relative_strength": -5.173525, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.067953, "energy": 14.675666, "activity_lines": [ 28.926667, 29.775091, 29.935667, 29.020602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }