{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7555715d-c2ed-474e-bc0b-743685f6d31f", "symbol": "VIVS", "name": "VivoSim Labs, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.154, "architecture_energy": 84.689, "architecture_maturity": 82.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.526, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.85, "rotation_up": 8.97, "upward_expansion": 20.31, "deceleration": 38.07, "rotation_down": 80.09, "downward_expansion": 95.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.467473, 0.659265, 0.927498, 1.142128 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.468, "trend_reference": 1.448317, "distance_from_trend": -0.676866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.1346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.923711, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -79.018791, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.794737, "excess_performance": -0.98219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.676866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229619, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.923711, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101852, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.790188, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.334194, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.794737, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.478695, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 106682431, "relative_activity": 6.395074, "balance": 0.478695, "dry_up": 4.88616, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.503041, "annualized_volatility": 0.958569, "from_high_reference": -0.911698, "from_low_reference": 0.519481 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.448317, "fair_value_reference": 6.1346, "structural_low": 0.308, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.078747, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.62, "median_excess_return": -0.089885, "regime_survival": 0.86, "best_return": 0.766871, "worst_return": -0.593301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.212108, "positive_rate": 0.235294, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": -0.236495, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.567091, "worst_return": -0.45277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.398583, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.9, "median_excess_return": -0.459103, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.186207, "worst_return": -0.595955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.532212, "energy": 89.333144, "activity_lines": [ 0.834067, 0.978018, 1.173243, 1.362389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.4189, "volume": 73607577, "typical_volume": 10636420.3, "trend": 1.547897, "fair_value": 6.377084, "relative_strength": -80.784256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.190119, "energy": 93.754731, "activity_lines": [ 0.669167, 0.856582, 1.085338, 1.286129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3446, "volume": 14585427, "typical_volume": 11356839.5, "trend": 1.496717, "fair_value": 6.253139, "relative_strength": -84.003607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.269985, "energy": 94.430599, "activity_lines": [ 0.524907, 0.737475, 0.997077, 1.208497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.468, "volume": 106682431, "typical_volume": 16681969.4, "trend": 1.448317, "fair_value": 6.1346, "relative_strength": -79.018791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.15401, "energy": 84.688636, "activity_lines": [ 0.467473, 0.659265, 0.927498, 1.142128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }