{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "75579dee-b59d-453b-8344-a69be6e02ea5",
    "symbol": "3363",
    "name": "FOCI Fiber Optic Communications, Inc.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 69.258,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -28.348,
    "architecture_energy": 27.496,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.558,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.966,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.78,
        "rotation_up": 25.67,
        "upward_expansion": 10.57,
        "deceleration": 62.09,
        "rotation_down": 47.1,
        "downward_expansion": 47.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        557.833333,
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        650.357143,
        664.722962
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 586.0,
    "trend_reference": 644.372577,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.090588,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 290.312106,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.018517,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.265751,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.369159,
    "excess_performance": -0.072213,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090588,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114338,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.018517,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.487032,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.172658,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.557759,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.369159,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.448432,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19347167,
      "relative_activity": 1.254339,
      "balance": 1.448432,
      "dry_up": 1.142366,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.217642,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.97959,
      "from_high_reference": -0.449765,
      "from_low_reference": 1.166359
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 644.372577,
      "fair_value_reference": 290.312106,
      "structural_low": 430.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.118548,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076511,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.057823,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.295554,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.244735,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.728863,
        "worst_return": -0.137755,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.448983,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.328047,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.017493,
        "worst_return": -0.119526,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 1.87467,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 1.415162,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 3.787172,
        "worst_return": -0.037832,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.271008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.469115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.332362,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025532,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.158859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.365766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.065421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 582.0,
        "volume": 15790055,
        "typical_volume": 15241272.7,
        "trend": 639.139244,
        "fair_value": 286.979259,
        "relative_strength": -14.747404,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.183501,
        "energy": 37.396322,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 586.0,
        "volume": 19347167,
        "typical_volume": 15424197.65,
        "trend": 644.372577,
        "fair_value": 290.312106,
        "relative_strength": -17.265751,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.348178,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}