{ "ticker": { "uuid": "75654b97-e9d8-4766-a7e4-bc37e6197f32", "symbol": "KREATE", "name": "Kreate Group Oyj", "exchange": "HEL", "country": "FI", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-18", "benchmark": "^OMXH25", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.427, "architecture_energy": 63.663, "architecture_maturity": 98.446, "architecture_confidence": 91.618, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.95, "rotation_up": 59.85, "upward_expansion": 86.26, "deceleration": 64.88, "rotation_down": 27.19, "downward_expansion": 10.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.786667, 29.296364, 27.751429, 25.364115 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 31.0, "trend_reference": 21.955564, "distance_from_trend": 0.411943, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.686618, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.900824, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 62.10471, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.468773, "excess_performance": 1.345198, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.411943, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.328981, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.900824, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071148, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.621047, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162025, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.468773, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.600894, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40829, "relative_activity": 1.242638, "balance": 1.600894, "dry_up": 1.303676, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073449, "annualized_volatility": 0.380276, "from_high_reference": -0.028213, "from_low_reference": 2.257057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.955564, "fair_value_reference": 10.686618, "structural_low": 11.872813, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.035714, "positive_rate": 0.703704, "directional_follow_through": 0.703704, "median_excess_return": 0.025505, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.269565, "worst_return": -0.067797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.120945, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.096425, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.590909, "worst_return": -0.12201, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.087068, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.113401, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.608116, "worst_return": -0.166219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-08-28", "close": 29.6, "volume": 23779, "typical_volume": 33561.8, "trend": 20.338739, "fair_value": 10.228918, "relative_strength": 64.528907, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.57354, "energy": 64.597216, "activity_lines": [ 28.746667, 28.514546, 26.167381, 23.632598 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 29.0, "volume": 45456, "typical_volume": 32535.6, "trend": 20.849385, "fair_value": 10.376464, "relative_strength": 59.769155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.554989, "energy": 60.077384, "activity_lines": [ 28.893333, 28.7, 26.679762, 24.191389 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 29.4, "volume": 61274, "typical_volume": 33838.15, "trend": 21.373365, "fair_value": 10.526359, "relative_strength": 57.049093, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.337227, "energy": 56.25159, "activity_lines": [ 29.12, 28.88, 27.16881, 24.743042 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 31.0, "volume": 40829, "typical_volume": 32856.7, "trend": 21.955564, "fair_value": 10.686618, "relative_strength": 62.10471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.426931, "energy": 63.663436, "activity_lines": [ 29.786667, 29.296364, 27.751429, 25.364115 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }