{ "ticker": { "uuid": "756be4bf-63de-4462-84bc-eb207f3ce68d", "symbol": "ALKEM", "name": "Alkem Laboratories Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.975, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.942, "architecture_energy": 43.515, "architecture_maturity": 5.93, "architecture_confidence": 55.645, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.86, "rotation_up": 59.55, "upward_expansion": 58.87, "deceleration": 22.97, "rotation_down": 20.54, "downward_expansion": 17.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 5646.314102, 5583.70006, 5513.121842, 5486.754777 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5620.0, "trend_reference": 5487.614474, "distance_from_trend": 0.024124, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5109.602459, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.001596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003289, "excess_performance": 0.04042, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024124, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006134, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030711, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030016, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050447, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003289, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.652138, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 434605, "relative_activity": 0.870695, "balance": 1.652138, "dry_up": 1.25585, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038578, "annualized_volatility": 0.2028, "from_high_reference": -0.0452, "from_low_reference": 0.195591 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5487.614474, "fair_value_reference": 5109.602459, "structural_low": 5075.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.010385, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051479, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.016889, "worst_return": -0.037658, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.005437, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014627, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.041919, "worst_return": -0.052792, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.09703, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.059477, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116868, "worst_return": 0.077193, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"volume": 434605, "typical_volume": 499147.1, "trend": 5487.614474, "fair_value": 5109.602459, "relative_strength": 3.001596, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.942177, "energy": 43.51528, "activity_lines": [ 5646.314102, 5583.70006, 5513.121842, 5486.754777 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }