{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7573f780-29a2-43c8-a3fa-b06194446ad6", "symbol": "FACE", "name": "Facephi Biometria, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.627, "architecture_energy": 83.46, "architecture_maturity": 66.22, "architecture_confidence": 87.875, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.04, "rotation_up": 11.52, "upward_expansion": 19.6, "deceleration": 37.65, "rotation_down": 79.77, "downward_expansion": 97.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.72, 1.803818, 1.949571, 2.040753 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.675, "trend_reference": 2.169, "distance_from_trend": -0.227755, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.164327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226087, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.988586, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.3107, "excess_performance": -0.43513, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.227755, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085067, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.226087, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.273325, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.389886, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.225203, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3107, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.334609, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54091, "relative_activity": 0.583688, "balance": 0.334609, "dry_up": 1.214585, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09713, "annualized_volatility": 0.284494, "from_high_reference": -0.418403, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.169, "fair_value_reference": 2.164327, "structural_low": 1.675, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.033493, "positive_rate": 0.342857, "directional_follow_through": 0.657143, "median_excess_return": -0.039261, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 0.17551, "worst_return": -0.214533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.062115, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.119532, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.292208, "worst_return": -0.194805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.163607, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.198726, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.12605, "worst_return": -0.23, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -75.914207, "energy": 71.60398, "activity_lines": [ 1.987333, 2.062545, 2.13681, 2.203849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.83, "volume": 97607, "typical_volume": 91570.55, "trend": 2.276, "fair_value": 2.188494, "relative_strength": -34.055576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.658884, "energy": 72.998665, "activity_lines": [ 1.920667, 2.01, 2.101952, 2.173892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.76, "volume": 152820, "typical_volume": 97329.15, "trend": 2.252667, "fair_value": 2.183878, "relative_strength": -35.216262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.892432, "energy": 82.940256, "activity_lines": [ 1.855333, 1.952364, 2.063, 2.140602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.745, "volume": 103359, "typical_volume": 99099.45, "trend": 2.226167, "fair_value": 2.176603, "relative_strength": -36.232703, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.699579, "energy": 84.284803, "activity_lines": [ 1.801, 1.902182, 2.025571, 2.107849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.71, "volume": 139958, "typical_volume": 92160.4, "trend": 2.198833, "fair_value": 2.170577, "relative_strength": -37.324048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.079747, "energy": 82.869995, "activity_lines": [ 1.755333, 1.853, 1.987976, 2.074548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.675, "volume": 54091, "typical_volume": 92671.15, "trend": 2.169, "fair_value": 2.164327, "relative_strength": -38.988586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.62678, "energy": 83.459629, "activity_lines": [ 1.72, 1.803818, 1.949571, 2.040753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }