{ "ticker": { "uuid": "75809b3f-fa44-4de1-96ac-36b924ff729d", "symbol": "EBO", "name": "Erste Group Bank AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.382, "architecture_energy": 52.95, "architecture_maturity": 62.556, "architecture_confidence": 63.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.69, "rotation_up": 49.4, "upward_expansion": 74.86, "deceleration": 70.94, "rotation_down": 26.83, "downward_expansion": 12.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.893332, 115.456363, 110.538612, 107.213756 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 119.699997, "trend_reference": 104.470825, "distance_from_trend": 0.145774, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.221252, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.863869, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.147335, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.118526, "excess_performance": 0.053887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.145774, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061048, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.863869, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150277, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.131473, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032671, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118526, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.072594, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3541, "relative_activity": 0.644633, "balance": 1.072594, "dry_up": 0.580324, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047298, "annualized_volatility": 0.31727, "from_high_reference": -0.036232, "from_low_reference": 0.492291 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.470825, "fair_value_reference": 64.221252, "structural_low": 85.622571, 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7118.9, "trend": 103.570558, "fair_value": 63.122384, "relative_strength": 15.251022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.259584, "energy": 68.057848, "activity_lines": [ 115.366666, 113.663637, 108.224999, 105.581036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 113.1, "volume": 2594, "typical_volume": 6674.6, "trend": 103.922274, "fair_value": 63.647764, "relative_strength": 10.339663, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.019464, "energy": 49.492018, "activity_lines": [ 114.439999, 114.092728, 109.119824, 106.195839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 119.699997, "volume": 3541, "typical_volume": 5493.05, "trend": 104.470825, "fair_value": 64.221252, "relative_strength": 13.147335, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.382146, "energy": 52.950311, "activity_lines": [ 115.893332, 115.456363, 110.538612, 107.213756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }