{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "758cfddb-d7fb-4ca2-8863-7f54b988bcdb",
    "symbol": "VALD",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Value Europe UCITS ETF Dis",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.005,
    "architecture_energy": 96.429,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.796,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.631,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 86.82,
        "upward_expansion": 99.93,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 10.76,
        "downward_expansion": 21.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        135.833331,
        134.040363,
        131.357499,
        128.937463
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 138.220001,
    "trend_reference": 125.947186,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.097444,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 101.531567,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.36135,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.763612,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.132489,
    "excess_performance": 0.079178,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097444,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052352,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.36135,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059089,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077636,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020059,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132489,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.506966,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 73,
      "relative_activity": 0.303156,
      "balance": 0.506966,
      "dry_up": 1.299834,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014948,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.129614,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000578,
      "from_low_reference": 0.286761
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 125.947186,
      "fair_value_reference": 101.531567,
      "structural_low": 112.889696,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.007488,
        "positive_rate": 0.634146,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.634146,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008975,
        "regime_survival": 0.707317,
        "best_return": 0.058399,
        "worst_return": -0.111399,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.025348,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018334,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.1226,
        "worst_return": -0.083168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.058578,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.151515,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 125.779999,
        "volume": 582,
        "typical_volume": 215.9,
        "trend": 117.621142,
        "fair_value": 97.061373,
        "relative_strength": 9.230311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.945982,
        "energy": 82.174332,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 126.779999,
        "volume": 232,
        "typical_volume": 223.0,
        "trend": 118.15143,
        "fair_value": 97.353744,
        "relative_strength": 9.769497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.875525,
        "energy": 80.699674,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 125.0,
        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 223.45,
        "trend": 118.623677,
        "fair_value": 97.6287,
        "relative_strength": 10.066325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.348854,
        "energy": 55.366999,
        "activity_lines": [
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          121.27578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 127.339996,
        "volume": 537,
        "typical_volume": 248.75,
        "trend": 119.147402,
        "fair_value": 97.928586,
        "relative_strength": 9.588255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.114613,
        "energy": 48.403771,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 128.179993,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 232.45,
        "trend": 119.68166,
        "fair_value": 98.232356,
        "relative_strength": 9.117646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.679565,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 128.039993,
        "volume": 608,
        "typical_volume": 247.3,
        "trend": 120.252654,
        "fair_value": 98.534709,
        "relative_strength": 8.284237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 47.904941,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 130.419998,
        "volume": 21,
        "typical_volume": 239.25,
        "trend": 120.862873,
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        "relative_strength": 8.304286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 60.824503,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 5,
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        "trend": 121.53262,
        "fair_value": 99.173156,
        "relative_strength": 6.654914,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 71.12871,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 129.600006,
        "volume": 29,
        "typical_volume": 235.5,
        "trend": 122.107097,
        "fair_value": 99.486606,
        "relative_strength": 6.744434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.926915,
        "energy": 73.137824,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 132.860001,
        "volume": 230,
        "typical_volume": 231.55,
        "trend": 122.765658,
        "fair_value": 99.830998,
        "relative_strength": 7.581629,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.575239,
        "energy": 86.380876,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.728001,
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          125.405586
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 132.600006,
        "volume": 657,
        "typical_volume": 260.6,
        "trend": 123.365094,
        "fair_value": 100.161369,
        "relative_strength": 9.22021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.110182,
        "energy": 84.158976,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.548003,
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          127.937792,
          126.04006
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 134.059998,
        "volume": 142,
        "typical_volume": 267.2,
        "trend": 123.996378,
        "fair_value": 100.493768,
        "relative_strength": 10.074904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.339871,
        "energy": 89.484038,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.550669,
          131.113455,
          128.742437,
          126.730054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 133.839996,
        "volume": 917,
        "typical_volume": 310.75,
        "trend": 124.620328,
        "fair_value": 100.81575,
        "relative_strength": 9.148553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.359445,
        "energy": 88.81312,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.237333,
          131.850181,
          129.47781,
          127.365126
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 136.039993,
        "volume": 120,
        "typical_volume": 238.6,
        "trend": 125.268448,
        "fair_value": 101.165863,
        "relative_strength": 8.922666,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.189355,
        "energy": 93.412468,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.386664,
          132.82618,
          130.35501,
          128.101879
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 138.220001,
        "volume": 73,
        "typical_volume": 240.8,
        "trend": 125.947186,
        "fair_value": 101.531567,
        "relative_strength": 7.763612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.004764,
        "energy": 96.428607,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.833331,
          134.040363,
          131.357499,
          128.937463
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}