{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "758e949a-0982-41e5-aa5d-7b8bad91a019",
    "symbol": "ACWIE",
    "name": "UBS MSCI ACWI SF UCITS ETF hEUR acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.086,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.924,
    "architecture_energy": 55.853,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.444,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.159,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.74,
        "rotation_up": 49.07,
        "upward_expansion": 79.67,
        "deceleration": 70.95,
        "rotation_down": 28.82,
        "downward_expansion": 8.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        277.749337,
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        274.355905,
        269.405247
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 283.76001,
    "trend_reference": 263.768332,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075793,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 217.427371,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30508,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.397645,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.114445,
    "excess_performance": -0.056447,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075793,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038371,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30508,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007437,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043976,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028411,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114445,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.420625,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8600,
      "relative_activity": 1.023499,
      "balance": 1.420625,
      "dry_up": 1.019899,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018493,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.127457,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002075,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22941
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 263.768332,
      "fair_value_reference": 217.427371,
      "structural_low": 237.449997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.008649,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001602,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
        "best_return": 0.06039,
        "worst_return": -0.075372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014828,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.041399,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.145205,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.107303,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 11294.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 4933,
        "typical_volume": 8889.55,
        "trend": 261.987665,
        "fair_value": 216.030641,
        "relative_strength": -4.242536,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 51.485642,
        "energy": 49.519524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 274.160004,
        "volume": 2730,
        "typical_volume": 8467.4,
        "trend": 262.798665,
        "fair_value": 216.691089,
        "relative_strength": -4.985726,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.609041,
        "energy": 39.925363,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 283.76001,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 8402.55,
        "trend": 263.768332,
        "fair_value": 217.427371,
        "relative_strength": -4.397645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.923875,
        "energy": 55.852795,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}