{ "ticker": { "uuid": "75905ced-b76d-42ee-b5c2-235b0606767a", "symbol": "6850", "name": "BiOptic Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.613, "architecture_energy": 54.438, "architecture_maturity": 58.925, "architecture_confidence": 90.678, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 25.64, "upward_expansion": 8.79, "deceleration": 50.27, "rotation_down": 54.23, "downward_expansion": 82.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.333333, 33.68909, 34.37119, 35.744839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 33.099998, "trend_reference": 37.925, "distance_from_trend": -0.127225, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.354658, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.199607, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.862072, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.25618, "excess_performance": -0.697552, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.127225, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.199607, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043307, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.438621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013335, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25618, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.516932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27671, "relative_activity": 0.290278, "balance": 1.516932, "dry_up": 0.287449, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045201, "annualized_volatility": 0.186796, "from_high_reference": -0.359768, "from_low_reference": 0.00761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.925, "fair_value_reference": 41.354658, "structural_low": 32.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.008851, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.042537, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.185819, "worst_return": -0.102094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071277, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.222223, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.132336, "worst_return": -0.161148, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.079402, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.058538, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.14257, "worst_return": -0.274834, "sufficient": false }, { 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41.456081, "relative_strength": -42.294249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.434493, "energy": 52.183993, "activity_lines": [ 33.953333, 34.317273, 35.153571, 36.771075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.349998, "volume": 34130, "typical_volume": 107872.0, "trend": 38.561666, "fair_value": 41.413317, "relative_strength": -41.927891, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.68665, "energy": 54.342298, "activity_lines": [ 33.703332, 34.083636, 34.855, 36.415376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.400002, "volume": 32401, "typical_volume": 104627.8, "trend": 38.331667, "fair_value": 41.380862, "relative_strength": -42.336112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.861196, "energy": 56.379642, "activity_lines": [ 33.54, 33.894545, 34.606429, 36.082366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 33.099998, "volume": 27671, "typical_volume": 95325.75, "trend": 37.925, "fair_value": 41.354658, "relative_strength": -43.862072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.612734, "energy": 54.437591, "activity_lines": [ 33.333333, 33.68909, 34.37119, 35.744839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }