{ "ticker": { "uuid": "759b543e-ef0a-4512-8587-20d6f32a966b", "symbol": "CVI", "name": "CVR Energy Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.829, "architecture_energy": 37.82, "architecture_maturity": 6.356, "architecture_confidence": 56.538, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.19, "rotation_up": 64.54, "upward_expansion": 76.49, "deceleration": 56.45, "rotation_down": 15.43, "downward_expansion": 7.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.320667, 31.98, 31.823177, 31.175997 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.15, "trend_reference": 29.541534, "distance_from_trend": 0.054448, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.66672, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213634, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.830686, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.291889, "excess_performance": 0.166264, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054448, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01079, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.213634, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127551, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113636, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.291889, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.788772, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5118165, "relative_activity": 1.033474, "balance": 0.788772, "dry_up": 1.032974, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124558, "annualized_volatility": 0.59181, "from_high_reference": -0.239099, "from_low_reference": 0.615848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.541534, "fair_value_reference": 25.66672, "structural_low": 19.277798, 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5225769.65, "trend": 28.893201, "fair_value": 25.602427, "relative_strength": 2.778367, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.00076, "energy": 30.817588, "activity_lines": [ 32.316, 31.243818, 31.520934, 30.619785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.62, "volume": 6924467, "typical_volume": 5249067.4, "trend": 29.255513, "fair_value": 25.653081, "relative_strength": 7.899263, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.613719, "energy": 48.734664, "activity_lines": [ 33.847333, 32.047091, 31.901893, 31.053772 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.15, "volume": 5118165, "typical_volume": 4952388.65, "trend": 29.541534, "fair_value": 25.66672, "relative_strength": -8.830686, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.829326, "energy": 37.820005, "activity_lines": [ 33.320667, 31.98, 31.823177, 31.175997 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }