{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "75a2133f-5481-4815-98ff-4b54871d7099",
    "symbol": "KRT",
    "name": "Karat Packaging Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 97.04,
    "architecture_energy": 98.503,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.424,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 90.97,
        "upward_expansion": 99.93,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 8.06,
        "downward_expansion": 21.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.688667,
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        34.066626,
        31.923476
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 47.09,
    "trend_reference": 29.27147,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.608734,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.668203,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.908935,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 57.12197,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.885329,
    "excess_performance": 0.697875,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.608734,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185199,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.908935,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.715033,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.57122,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.647143,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.885329,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.804819,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 787578,
      "relative_activity": 1.474106,
      "balance": 6.804819,
      "dry_up": 1.278974,
      "accumulation_observations": 8,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062974,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.405644,
      "from_high_reference": -0.0582,
      "from_low_reference": 1.378125
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 24.668203,
      "structural_low": 21.586456,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.016699,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007224,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.259174,
        "worst_return": -0.106348,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.041521,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037801,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.685338,
        "worst_return": -0.137136,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.14943,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018748,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.077318,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.173141,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": 35.277922,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 93.314474,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.52,
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        "typical_volume": 517544.1,
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        "relative_strength": 41.871242,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 91.874855,
        "energy": 96.65702,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.24,
        "volume": 676343,
        "typical_volume": 526975.95,
        "trend": 28.483163,
        "fair_value": 24.487329,
        "relative_strength": 42.722899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.207916,
        "energy": 94.64211,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.410667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.09,
        "volume": 787578,
        "typical_volume": 534275.0,
        "trend": 29.27147,
        "fair_value": 24.668203,
        "relative_strength": 57.12197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.040068,
        "energy": 98.50346,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}