{ "ticker": { "uuid": "75b46e5a-76eb-47a9-8475-4992c77b9756", "symbol": "TSYY", "name": "GRANITESHARES YIELDBOOST TSLA ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.33, "architecture_energy": 80.999, "architecture_maturity": 24.893, "architecture_confidence": 88.613, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 11.42, "upward_expansion": 19.21, "deceleration": 38.28, "rotation_down": 76.22, "downward_expansion": 94.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.390656, 20.914899, 21.766341, 22.447475 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.33, "trend_reference": 23.534458, "distance_from_trend": -0.13616, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.196605, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.223945, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.290411, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.203221, "excess_performance": -0.390674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.13616, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082332, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.223945, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108405, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.302904, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061162, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.203221, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.45437, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 116675, "relative_activity": 0.049612, "balance": 0.45437, "dry_up": 0.065204, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049555, "annualized_volatility": 0.178345, "from_high_reference": -0.347519, "from_low_reference": 0.041491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.534458, "fair_value_reference": 26.196605, "structural_low": 19.520091, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.075887, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.044338, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.075887, "worst_return": -0.075887, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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24.308517, "fair_value": 26.417294, "relative_strength": -25.946176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.459173, "energy": 66.004102, "activity_lines": [ 21.579076, 21.950664, 22.539668, 23.207756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.900167, "volume": 206870, "typical_volume": 2933219.95, "trend": 23.984462, "fair_value": 26.339709, "relative_strength": -28.836213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.893416, "energy": 73.851408, "activity_lines": [ 20.984191, 21.507797, 22.239177, 22.923346 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.042421, "volume": 163034, "typical_volume": 2648304.15, "trend": 23.763972, "fair_value": 26.265624, "relative_strength": -28.265973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.494833, "energy": 78.809876, "activity_lines": [ 20.589763, 21.155284, 21.976974, 22.669021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.33, "volume": 116675, "typical_volume": 2351764.95, "trend": 23.534458, "fair_value": 26.196605, "relative_strength": -30.290411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.330379, "energy": 80.999303, "activity_lines": [ 20.390656, 20.914899, 21.766341, 22.447475 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }