{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "75caf771-8571-4631-8f86-4265174e6fab",
    "symbol": "ROBO",
    "name": "L&G ROBO Global Robotics and Automation UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.03,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 22.517,
    "architecture_energy": 21.337,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.53,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.933,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.09,
        "rotation_up": 25.18,
        "upward_expansion": 50.06,
        "deceleration": 82.13,
        "rotation_down": 41.13,
        "downward_expansion": 30.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.441,
        28.791182,
        28.939286,
        28.289656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 29.58,
    "trend_reference": 27.450167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077589,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.147423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335596,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.675735,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.171949,
    "excess_performance": 0.001058,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077589,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067671,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335596,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037283,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006757,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112563,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171949,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.516806,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 215303,
      "relative_activity": 1.526527,
      "balance": 2.516806,
      "dry_up": 1.157319,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050047,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.260042,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055857,
      "from_low_reference": 0.381275
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.450167,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.147423,
      "structural_low": 23.295,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.067704,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044244,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.164979,
        "worst_return": -0.184019,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.045617,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000251,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.230169,
        "worst_return": -0.025424,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.02144,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057942,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.058111,
        "worst_return": -0.119363,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.119627,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044465,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.252058,
        "worst_return": -0.254288,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.094179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.006153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010896,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.151817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.173651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.100615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 21.957801,
        "relative_strength": 0.867666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.41,
        "volume": 131659,
        "typical_volume": 147829.15,
        "trend": 27.061,
        "fair_value": 21.998058,
        "relative_strength": -4.619814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.013136,
        "energy": 18.265775,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.938333,
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          28.815,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.92,
        "volume": 154310,
        "typical_volume": 145130.2,
        "trend": 27.196,
        "fair_value": 22.039949,
        "relative_strength": -2.719587,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.889647,
        "energy": 19.857512,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.474,
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          28.822214,
          28.111828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.684999,
        "volume": 151646,
        "typical_volume": 138415.8,
        "trend": 27.312667,
        "fair_value": 22.08591,
        "relative_strength": -4.20104,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.757835,
        "energy": 17.131534,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.092666,
          28.718273,
          28.797214,
          28.143376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.58,
        "volume": 215303,
        "typical_volume": 141041.1,
        "trend": 27.450167,
        "fair_value": 22.147423,
        "relative_strength": -0.675735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.517264,
        "energy": 21.336858,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.441,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}