{ "ticker": { "uuid": "75e46d08-9744-4fa5-9eeb-7a31f5f53bcc", "symbol": "LUG", "name": "Lundin Gold Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.103, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.041, "architecture_energy": 12.34, "architecture_maturity": 63.977, "architecture_confidence": 68.324, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.88, "rotation_up": 29.89, "upward_expansion": 21.13, "deceleration": 42.81, "rotation_down": 24.91, "downward_expansion": 59.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.941332, 81.080618, 82.370393, 86.057151 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 92.029999, "trend_reference": 91.152064, "distance_from_trend": 0.009632, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.533359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.896221, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.275288, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.040868, "excess_performance": -0.161289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009632, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076124, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.896221, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173677, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.102753, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030253, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.040868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.783081, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3416700, "relative_activity": 1.476306, "balance": 0.783081, "dry_up": 1.223417, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07779, "annualized_volatility": 0.611284, "from_high_reference": -0.232211, "from_low_reference": 0.371623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.152064, "fair_value_reference": 48.533359, 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90.055391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 78.230003, "volume": 3004400, "typical_volume": 2539550.3, "trend": 94.320836, "fair_value": 46.806015, "relative_strength": -21.259777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.10767, "energy": 44.085465, "activity_lines": [ 79.310001, 79.449071, 84.673059, 88.966252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 76.82, "volume": 2497400, "typical_volume": 2468912.95, "trend": 93.413467, "fair_value": 47.200587, "relative_strength": -22.629413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.805355, "energy": 43.598936, "activity_lines": [ 78.652001, 78.794564, 83.406299, 87.837166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 79.379997, "volume": 2398500, "typical_volume": 2406802.9, "trend": 92.436164, "fair_value": 47.616712, "relative_strength": -20.361508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.274943, "energy": 34.639954, "activity_lines": [ 78.846666, 78.827317, 82.577815, 86.931781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.489998, "volume": 3013100, "typical_volume": 2394539.5, "trend": 91.64059, "fair_value": 48.029465, "relative_strength": -20.975212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.753039, "energy": 40.375287, "activity_lines": [ 78.685332, 78.717883, 81.786055, 86.032028 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.029999, "volume": 3416700, "typical_volume": 2314358.35, "trend": 91.152064, "fair_value": 48.533359, "relative_strength": -10.275288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.041056, "energy": 12.339657, "activity_lines": [ 82.941332, 81.080618, 82.370393, 86.057151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }