{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "75e8dae4-b35d-4267-90e0-bcbe1a938118",
    "symbol": "DOCT",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY DEEP BUFFER ETF - OCTOBER",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.29,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.31,
    "architecture_energy": 67.666,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.565,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.082,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.14,
        "rotation_up": 64.68,
        "upward_expansion": 87.05,
        "deceleration": 59.92,
        "rotation_down": 24.31,
        "downward_expansion": 11.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        47.08226,
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        46.531001,
        46.014797
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 47.47,
    "trend_reference": 45.425723,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045003,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.270149,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178789,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.124541,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.063835,
    "excess_performance": -0.06179,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045003,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020055,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178789,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005979,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051245,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000898,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063835,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.006353,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38307,
      "relative_activity": 0.688834,
      "balance": 3.006353,
      "dry_up": 0.739539,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010774,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.060213,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01962,
      "from_low_reference": 0.135597
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.425723,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.270149,
      "structural_low": 42.755,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.006552,
        "positive_rate": 0.717949,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.717949,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003918,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.030812,
        "worst_return": -0.062793,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.027322,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013649,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.050352,
        "worst_return": -0.021917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.052798,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037675,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": 0.003559,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036485,
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        "best_return": 0.116852,
        "worst_return": 0.105307,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "relative_strength": -3.624991,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 58094.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -3.917281,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -4.126804,
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        "direction": 66.156597,
        "energy": 64.153979,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "direction": 63.259707,
        "energy": 56.993041,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 57224.9,
        "trend": 44.978953,
        "fair_value": 39.890868,
        "relative_strength": -3.773019,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 39.966924,
        "relative_strength": -4.317176,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 78.902397,
        "energy": 82.022777,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 58655.2,
        "trend": 45.163613,
        "fair_value": 40.041249,
        "relative_strength": -3.099986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.929982,
        "energy": 59.561126,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.119074,
          45.659491
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.7055,
        "volume": 37182,
        "typical_volume": 57226.85,
        "trend": 45.237463,
        "fair_value": 40.114041,
        "relative_strength": -2.581301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.289723,
        "energy": 57.072065,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.758968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.0632,
        "volume": 49265,
        "typical_volume": 56664.15,
        "trend": 45.33038,
        "fair_value": 40.190966,
        "relative_strength": -2.782004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.734793,
        "energy": 60.081863,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.87016,
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          46.371299,
          45.876757
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.47,
        "volume": 38307,
        "typical_volume": 55611.35,
        "trend": 45.425723,
        "fair_value": 40.270149,
        "relative_strength": -5.124541,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.309882,
        "energy": 67.666035,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}