{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "760b126c-40a7-4621-9f6d-26d0616c4391",
    "symbol": "HLIO",
    "name": "Helios Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.719,
    "architecture_energy": 20.824,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.311,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.137,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.6,
        "rotation_up": 24.9,
        "upward_expansion": 55.02,
        "deceleration": 90.85,
        "rotation_down": 27.96,
        "downward_expansion": 18.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        80.694,
        82.104546,
        80.426765,
        77.547788
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 83.39,
    "trend_reference": 74.137394,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.124803,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.495107,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.651447,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.033239,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.151826,
    "excess_performance": 0.026201,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124803,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145192,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.651447,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246539,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140332,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000544,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151826,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.141851,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1452773,
      "relative_activity": 0.831554,
      "balance": 1.141851,
      "dry_up": 0.799694,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080937,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.344275,
      "from_high_reference": -0.121357,
      "from_low_reference": 0.779665
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.137394,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.495107,
      "structural_low": 61.94567,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.042159,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.066419,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.05951,
        "worst_return": -0.235575,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.012023,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074796,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.404201,
        "worst_return": -0.256154,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.097119,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.163997,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.301514,
        "worst_return": -0.355385,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.348209,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.453172,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.312134,
        "worst_return": -0.465896,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.143565,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.092608,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.345469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.129745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "return": 0.048164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.154395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.06837,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.070338,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1850725.2,
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        "fair_value": 50.093495,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 37.084251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 79.83,
        "volume": 1518477,
        "typical_volume": 1791803.95,
        "trend": 72.594735,
        "fair_value": 50.215569,
        "relative_strength": 16.075979,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.769565,
        "energy": 24.115718,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.91,
        "volume": 1338290,
        "typical_volume": 1750844.1,
        "trend": 73.373998,
        "fair_value": 50.323392,
        "relative_strength": 10.978938,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.572841,
        "energy": 23.302491,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 83.39,
        "volume": 1452773,
        "typical_volume": 1747058.5,
        "trend": 74.137394,
        "fair_value": 50.495107,
        "relative_strength": 14.033239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.718571,
        "energy": 20.823565,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}