{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7610d85c-9a0b-4391-9a16-4f2b469f1c84", "symbol": "003016", "name": "Xin Hee Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.759, "architecture_energy": 43.781, "architecture_maturity": 92.437, "architecture_confidence": 63.925, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.82, "rotation_up": 26.78, "upward_expansion": 18.76, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 43.24, "downward_expansion": 68.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.539333, 6.512727, 6.938381, 7.30757 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.73, "trend_reference": 7.837333, "distance_from_trend": -0.14129, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.727646, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129101, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.059062, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.24382, "excess_performance": -0.25122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14129, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129101, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204223, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.210591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039913, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.24382, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.514936, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16217978, "relative_activity": 0.9464, "balance": 0.514936, "dry_up": 1.386957, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077952, "annualized_volatility": 0.300782, "from_high_reference": -0.473808, "from_low_reference": 0.106908 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.837333, "fair_value_reference": 7.727646, "structural_low": 6.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.003594, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.0016, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.225541, "worst_return": -0.165217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024433, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00355, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.505673, "worst_return": -0.244172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.075211, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.065204, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.221713, "worst_return": -0.30587, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"fair_value": 7.766774, "relative_strength": -26.192707, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.904797, "energy": 66.93073, "activity_lines": [ 6.343333, 6.518545, 7.081524, 7.477484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.63, "volume": 17884333, "typical_volume": 17289934.3, "trend": 7.936, "fair_value": 7.747415, "relative_strength": -18.672582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.376753, "energy": 56.937219, "activity_lines": [ 6.438667, 6.496182, 7.00081, 7.385376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.73, "volume": 16217978, "typical_volume": 17136487.0, "trend": 7.837333, "fair_value": 7.727646, "relative_strength": -21.059062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.758863, "energy": 43.780943, "activity_lines": [ 6.539333, 6.512727, 6.938381, 7.30757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }