{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "76117a89-bffc-48d4-97a7-ebe1bece5ac9",
    "symbol": "FNWD",
    "name": "Finward Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.782,
    "architecture_energy": 92.954,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.762,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.162,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.12,
        "rotation_up": 87.03,
        "upward_expansion": 99.99,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.04,
        "downward_expansion": 21.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.826,
        39.865888,
        36.985082,
        36.406811
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 44.51,
    "trend_reference": 36.054197,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.23453,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.773731,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.546897,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.787155,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.155186,
    "excess_performance": -0.032267,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23453,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012504,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.546897,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.399353,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107872,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.309696,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155186,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.064332,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 117158,
      "relative_activity": 1.408956,
      "balance": 1.064332,
      "dry_up": 1.705812,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064336,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.363929,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030283,
      "from_low_reference": 0.604007
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.054197,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.773731,
      "structural_low": 29.94344,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.002391,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009509,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.152421,
        "worst_return": -0.129339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.031534,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.053363,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.343838,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.046265,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023888,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.385945,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.334213,
        "sufficient": false
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 55157.65,
        "trend": 35.633487,
        "fair_value": 27.493417,
        "relative_strength": -9.957721,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 52267.5,
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        "fair_value": 27.523691,
        "relative_strength": -15.331109,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 53010,
        "typical_volume": 50785.75,
        "trend": 35.687142,
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        "relative_strength": -20.182445,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 50914.3,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 49539.6,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 44877.9,
        "trend": 35.582744,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 33.869468,
        "volume": 45705,
        "typical_volume": 41690.45,
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        "relative_strength": -14.151909,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "direction": -38.235171,
        "energy": 19.734171,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -11.645197,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -33.497819,
        "energy": 19.220155,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.8,
        "volume": 76425,
        "typical_volume": 61569.05,
        "trend": 35.295745,
        "fair_value": 28.196654,
        "relative_strength": -5.42483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.469868,
        "energy": 15.362978,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.59,
        "volume": 46911,
        "typical_volume": 62788.25,
        "trend": 35.196846,
        "fair_value": 28.286809,
        "relative_strength": -10.152362,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.704325,
        "energy": 19.698468,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.307298,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.29,
        "volume": 41924,
        "typical_volume": 63403.55,
        "trend": 35.147655,
        "fair_value": 28.368212,
        "relative_strength": -4.583991,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.32442,
        "energy": 24.652083,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.769333,
          34.821676,
          34.226912,
          34.64552
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.61,
        "volume": 315383,
        "typical_volume": 77631.35,
        "trend": 35.414536,
        "fair_value": 28.500214,
        "relative_strength": 18.49547,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.689949,
        "energy": 67.320293,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.843333,
          36.74117,
          35.189635,
          35.255994
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.46,
        "volume": 92904,
        "typical_volume": 80262.15,
        "trend": 35.717806,
        "fair_value": 28.639454,
        "relative_strength": 16.821623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.827434,
        "energy": 90.415674,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.172667,
          38.411113,
          36.102028,
          35.839573
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.51,
        "volume": 117158,
        "typical_volume": 83152.35,
        "trend": 36.054197,
        "fair_value": 28.773731,
        "relative_strength": 10.787155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.782036,
        "energy": 92.954162,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.826,
          39.865888,
          36.985082,
          36.406811
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}