{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7617d97c-e26d-4df0-ad29-7bcff216c4a1", "symbol": "002653", "name": "Haisco Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.897, "architecture_energy": 47.622, "architecture_maturity": 42.421, "architecture_confidence": 76.465, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.64, "rotation_up": 62.53, "upward_expansion": 79.02, "deceleration": 64.96, "rotation_down": 15.9, "downward_expansion": 5.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.85, 65.835455, 60.893165, 58.306831 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 71.599998, "trend_reference": 55.387488, "distance_from_trend": 0.292711, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.129338, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.829829, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.941495, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.420029, "excess_performance": 0.412629, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.292711, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043959, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.829829, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.322035, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.249415, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.391462, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.420029, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.681753, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47304410, "relative_activity": 1.409458, "balance": 0.681753, "dry_up": 1.910085, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127902, "annualized_volatility": 0.618726, "from_high_reference": -0.11419, "from_low_reference": 0.698137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.387488, "fair_value_reference": 39.129338, "structural_low": 42.16385, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.015952, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.36, "median_excess_return": 0.000542, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.263048, "worst_return": -0.184255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.055322, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.030406, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.286527, "worst_return": -0.230105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109091, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.054371, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.257996, "worst_return": -0.159695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.879721, "energy": 77.606875, "activity_lines": [ 68.808001, 63.073637, 58.967773, 56.699943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.380001, "volume": 49505029, "typical_volume": 32472966.05, "trend": 54.702763, "fair_value": 38.808401, "relative_strength": 14.791244, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.625788, "energy": 55.031834, "activity_lines": [ 67.021334, 63.718728, 59.530175, 57.216687 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.599998, "volume": 47304410, "typical_volume": 33562116.75, "trend": 55.387488, "fair_value": 39.129338, "relative_strength": 24.941495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.897321, "energy": 47.622375, "activity_lines": [ 67.85, 65.835455, 60.893165, 58.306831 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }