{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7629209a-5d51-4ee3-b445-18a917c85141", "symbol": "BSM", "name": "BuilderSmart Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.765, "architecture_energy": 58.199, "architecture_maturity": 55.71, "architecture_confidence": 69.152, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.48, "rotation_up": 61.11, "upward_expansion": 81.1, "deceleration": 71.01, "rotation_down": 17.46, "downward_expansion": 10.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.773333, 0.733091, 0.588714, 0.528237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.74, "trend_reference": 0.465, "distance_from_trend": 0.591398, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.479808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.499935, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 39.889311, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.897436, "excess_performance": 0.705111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.591398, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234513, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.499935, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291142, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.398893, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.794294, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.897436, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.368102, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175500, "relative_activity": 0.167841, "balance": 0.368102, "dry_up": 0.555311, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.178794, "annualized_volatility": 1.461098, "from_high_reference": -0.398374, "from_low_reference": 1.551724 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.465, "fair_value_reference": 1.479808, "structural_low": 0.29, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.114583, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.100337, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.066667, "worst_return": -0.254902, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.113889, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.087262, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.044444, "worst_return": -0.183333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.222222, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.215892, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.2, "worst_return": -0.244444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 0.76, "volume": 156400, "typical_volume": 1038140.0, "trend": 0.452667, "fair_value": 1.493526, "relative_strength": 42.618334, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.347146, "energy": 77.588971, "activity_lines": [ 0.812, 0.707636, 0.564286, 0.509699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.74, "volume": 175500, "typical_volume": 1045630.0, "trend": 0.465, "fair_value": 1.479808, "relative_strength": 39.889311, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.765352, "energy": 58.199122, "activity_lines": [ 0.773333, 0.733091, 0.588714, 0.528237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }