{ "ticker": { "uuid": "762b89cd-5114-4013-86fa-0a204cf9f98e", "symbol": "BRK", "name": "Brookside Energy Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.731, "architecture_energy": 50.324, "architecture_maturity": 33.871, "architecture_confidence": 95.868, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.36, "rotation_up": 25.25, "upward_expansion": 8.18, "deceleration": 54.32, "rotation_down": 54.8, "downward_expansion": 83.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.391, 0.396091, 0.436238, 0.454484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.385, "trend_reference": 0.462, "distance_from_trend": -0.166667, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.493942, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.220557, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.120004, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.060976, "excess_performance": -0.124681, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02805, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.220557, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230517, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1712, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.364871, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.060976, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.493306, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 613850, "relative_activity": 0.400802, "balance": 0.493306, "dry_up": 0.391639, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10989, "annualized_volatility": 0.649459, "from_high_reference": -0.393701, "from_low_reference": 0.132353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.462, "fair_value_reference": 0.493942, "structural_low": 0.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.392857, "median_excess_return": -0.001407, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.352941, "worst_return": -0.227273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.04, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.077165, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.166667, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.134524, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.153339, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.410545, 0.455143, 0.465312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.38, "volume": 828012, "typical_volume": 1749382.0, "trend": 0.464833, "fair_value": 0.495641, "relative_strength": -15.762458, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.245146, "energy": 62.370919, "activity_lines": [ 0.392667, 0.402091, 0.445143, 0.459634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.385, "volume": 613850, "typical_volume": 1531552.65, "trend": 0.462, "fair_value": 0.493942, "relative_strength": -17.120004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.731311, "energy": 50.323847, "activity_lines": [ 0.391, 0.396091, 0.436238, 0.454484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }