{ "ticker": { "uuid": "763f35e7-9db5-435b-b007-23343dcc181a", "symbol": "1471", "name": "Solytech Enterprise Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 75.378, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.175, "architecture_energy": 60.849, "architecture_maturity": 21.739, "architecture_confidence": 86.878, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.48, "rotation_up": 16.85, "upward_expansion": 11.98, "deceleration": 42.78, "rotation_down": 65.54, "downward_expansion": 87.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.58, 9.807273, 10.270238, 10.745914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.67, "trend_reference": 11.333, "distance_from_trend": -0.14674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.165385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.265498, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.155873, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.10463, "excess_performance": -0.450362, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14674, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033436, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.265498, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077048, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321559, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009094, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.10463, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.115926, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1456335, "relative_activity": 0.456445, "balance": 2.115926, "dry_up": 0.400231, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084401, "annualized_volatility": 0.4514, "from_high_reference": -0.378135, "from_low_reference": 0.179268 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.333, "fair_value_reference": 13.165385, "structural_low": 8.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.006166, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.007868, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.383827, "worst_return": -0.186122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.01, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.074326, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.622912, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.122388, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.118931, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.985583, "worst_return": -0.242424, "sufficient": true }, { 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30.021141, "activity_lines": [ 10.74, 10.842727, 11.216905, 11.398989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.76, "volume": 773000, "typical_volume": 5166663.65, "trend": 11.274333, "fair_value": 13.3325, "relative_strength": -31.921582, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.321298, "energy": 50.183323, "activity_lines": [ 10.403333, 10.641818, 11.03, 11.303978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.73, "volume": 1591531, "typical_volume": 4485741.4, "trend": 11.299333, "fair_value": 13.28782, "relative_strength": -32.856546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.944288, "energy": 70.050733, "activity_lines": [ 10.119333, 10.459818, 10.858524, 11.204344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.48, "volume": 1359366, "typical_volume": 4305015.4, "trend": 11.322667, "fair_value": 13.251474, "relative_strength": -32.944696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.983895, "energy": 76.121775, "activity_lines": [ 9.833333, 10.241818, 10.677381, 11.086968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.54, "volume": 1263900, "typical_volume": 3804925.55, "trend": 11.346333, "fair_value": 13.215513, "relative_strength": -33.375133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.195724, "energy": 75.393527, "activity_lines": [ 9.648667, 10.059636, 10.518714, 10.971957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 9.51, "volume": 1028314, "typical_volume": 3266669.6, "trend": 11.337333, "fair_value": 13.185769, "relative_strength": -34.980199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.903854, "energy": 74.16691, "activity_lines": [ 9.558, 9.901273, 10.37819, 10.853484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 9.67, "volume": 1456335, "typical_volume": 3190602.5, "trend": 11.333, "fair_value": 13.165385, "relative_strength": -32.155873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.175375, "energy": 60.848847, "activity_lines": [ 9.58, 9.807273, 10.270238, 10.745914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }