{ "ticker": { "uuid": "763f5d3a-b773-455e-81fa-76e44a3ff4ab", "symbol": "SPUC", "name": "SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS US EQUITY PLUS UPSIDE CONVEXITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.277, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.782, "architecture_energy": 53.205, "architecture_maturity": 38.091, "architecture_confidence": 74.56, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.08, "rotation_up": 57.93, "upward_expansion": 80.38, "deceleration": 58.04, "rotation_down": 22.76, "downward_expansion": 7.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.317032, 48.971403, 48.551103, 47.774766 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.4356, "trend_reference": 46.979602, "distance_from_trend": 0.073564, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.523707, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.309209, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.70578, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.087266, "excess_performance": -0.038359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073564, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022976, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.309209, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003351, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000927, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.537153, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156258, "relative_activity": 0.557886, "balance": 0.537153, "dry_up": 4.262599, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023669, "annualized_volatility": 0.140188, "from_high_reference": -0.017997, "from_low_reference": 0.209026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.979602, "fair_value_reference": 38.523707, "structural_low": 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50.215846, "energy": 38.12772, "activity_lines": [ 48.372438, 48.462127, 47.527771, 46.979685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.258298, "volume": 25887, "typical_volume": 44592.65, "trend": 46.570409, "fair_value": 37.980751, "relative_strength": -2.885351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.405309, "energy": 48.25299, "activity_lines": [ 48.658512, 48.624967, 47.77818, 47.160534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.560196, "volume": 14374, "typical_volume": 43804.75, "trend": 46.672021, "fair_value": 38.111808, "relative_strength": -2.710231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.242101, "energy": 40.197708, "activity_lines": [ 48.647909, 48.623256, 47.946185, 47.288908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.252932, "volume": 3136141, "typical_volume": 199861.2, "trend": 46.737761, "fair_value": 38.23859, "relative_strength": -2.688802, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.224817, "energy": 37.824194, "activity_lines": [ 48.533057, 48.558786, 48.070686, 47.390902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.11, "volume": 1468865, "typical_volume": 272677.65, "trend": 46.857953, "fair_value": 38.37635, "relative_strength": -2.003112, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.00942, "energy": 44.408534, "activity_lines": [ 48.756766, 48.648266, 48.259825, 47.54395 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.4356, "volume": 156258, "typical_volume": 280089.55, "trend": 46.979602, "fair_value": 38.523707, "relative_strength": -2.70578, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.7816, "energy": 53.204715, "activity_lines": [ 49.317032, 48.971403, 48.551103, 47.774766 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }