{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7647c12d-6bf9-46b0-aa77-33f518788a0d", "symbol": "300155", "name": "Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.387, "architecture_energy": 52.638, "architecture_maturity": 70.394, "architecture_confidence": 92.489, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 22.78, "upward_expansion": 8.0, "deceleration": 60.33, "rotation_down": 56.84, "downward_expansion": 81.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.952, 3.996727, 4.284286, 4.492194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.15, "trend_reference": 4.866, "distance_from_trend": -0.147143, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.824679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139839, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.010683, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.224299, "excess_performance": -0.231699, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.147143, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103317, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139839, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.203252, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.210107, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021756, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.224299, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.2735, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46563763, "relative_activity": 1.315217, "balance": 0.2735, "dry_up": 1.252293, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088786, "annualized_volatility": 0.338866, "from_high_reference": -0.486386, "from_low_reference": 0.172316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.866, "fair_value_reference": 4.824679, "structural_low": 3.54, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.030936, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.03415, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.602484, "worst_return": -0.242353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.020913, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.014542, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.515244, "worst_return": -0.386916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.129787, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.044582, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.551829, "worst_return": -0.152455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.30743, "energy": 86.700793, "activity_lines": [ 3.975333, 4.190909, 4.469714, 4.70443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.63, "volume": 44659645, "typical_volume": 35839669.2, "trend": 5.018667, "fair_value": 4.837692, "relative_strength": -29.459366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.427706, "energy": 78.615882, "activity_lines": [ 3.842667, 4.048, 4.37281, 4.609957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.99, "volume": 38000888, "typical_volume": 35511081.45, "trend": 4.946667, "fair_value": 4.830577, "relative_strength": -20.68843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.826068, "energy": 60.352679, "activity_lines": [ 3.873333, 3.998182, 4.318143, 4.543591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.15, "volume": 46563763, "typical_volume": 35403874.6, "trend": 4.866, "fair_value": 4.824679, "relative_strength": -21.010683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.387389, "energy": 52.638326, "activity_lines": [ 3.952, 3.996727, 4.284286, 4.492194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }