{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76521a58-5b3b-4e76-82fb-35212495b040", "symbol": "BC", "name": "Boutique Corporation Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.655, "architecture_energy": 50.679, "architecture_maturity": 33.547, "architecture_confidence": 94.22, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.54, "rotation_up": 17.26, "upward_expansion": 8.21, "deceleration": 44.27, "rotation_down": 59.55, "downward_expansion": 81.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.575333, 0.590727, 0.625143, 0.647634 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.55, "trend_reference": 0.682667, "distance_from_trend": -0.194336, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.895736, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.38598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.940612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.276316, "excess_performance": -0.468641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.194336, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0627, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.38598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168487, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.369406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136853, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.276316, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.06503, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2352200, "relative_activity": 2.563831, "balance": 0.06503, "dry_up": 1.361756, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141259, "annualized_volatility": 0.518082, "from_high_reference": -0.490741, "from_low_reference": 0.1 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.682667, "fair_value_reference": 0.895736, "structural_low": 0.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.018749, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.65625, "median_excess_return": -0.021334, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.531034, "worst_return": -0.206522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.044839, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.105598, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.407894, "worst_return": -0.189655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.078431, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.058295, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.350392, "worst_return": -0.167832, "sufficient": true }, { 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.030928, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.061856, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.211111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.051601, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.095745, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": 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-55.639332, "energy": 40.131676, "activity_lines": [ 0.615333, 0.627818, 0.659381, 0.679333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.6, "volume": 269700, "typical_volume": 725060.0, "trend": 0.704333, "fair_value": 0.906226, "relative_strength": -35.175457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.807765, "energy": 33.440288, "activity_lines": [ 0.611333, 0.619091, 0.652286, 0.67228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.59, "volume": 1795300, "typical_volume": 807925.0, "trend": 0.697333, "fair_value": 0.902958, "relative_strength": -35.565633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.523835, "energy": 32.903596, "activity_lines": [ 0.607333, 0.611091, 0.644762, 0.664903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.57, "volume": 580200, "typical_volume": 814090.0, "trend": 0.690333, "fair_value": 0.89932, "relative_strength": -36.100594, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.263709, "energy": 39.984484, "activity_lines": [ 0.592667, 0.602, 0.635667, 0.656688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.55, "volume": 2352200, "typical_volume": 917455.0, "trend": 0.682667, "fair_value": 0.895736, "relative_strength": -36.940612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.655277, "energy": 50.678872, "activity_lines": [ 0.575333, 0.590727, 0.625143, 0.647634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }