{ "ticker": { "uuid": "766189ea-ab29-4775-8d94-d5396275e24c", "symbol": "EURK", "name": "Eureka Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.074, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.368, "architecture_energy": 28.618, "architecture_maturity": 56.067, "architecture_confidence": 42.526, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.27, "rotation_up": 44.5, "upward_expansion": 71.3, "deceleration": 70.66, "rotation_down": 18.28, "downward_expansion": 2.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.071333, 11.980909, 11.771143, 11.632925 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.98, "trend_reference": 11.465333, "distance_from_trend": 0.044889, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.743437, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115099, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.331642, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080252, "excess_performance": -0.107201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044889, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028715, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.115099, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041379, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067514, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080252, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.920801, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12511, "relative_activity": 0.246642, "balance": 0.920801, "dry_up": 0.695426, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075896, "annualized_volatility": 0.173143, "from_high_reference": -0.161064, "from_low_reference": 0.130189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.465333, "fair_value_reference": 10.743437, "structural_low": 11.06, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.012545, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.033559, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.081739, "worst_return": -0.036977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.02509, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.247505, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.02509, "worst_return": 0.02509, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 11.582, 11.535455, 11.444762, 11.36972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.44, "volume": 41029, "typical_volume": 45310.65, "trend": 11.307, "fair_value": 10.687018, "relative_strength": -3.714214, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.43754, "energy": 46.488715, "activity_lines": [ 11.879333, 11.708364, 11.546905, 11.445914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.49, "volume": 29498, "typical_volume": 46239.25, "trend": 11.36, "fair_value": 10.705605, "relative_strength": 0.975086, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.349331, "energy": 49.03471, "activity_lines": [ 12.124, 11.869273, 11.647905, 11.522237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.93, "volume": 71334, "typical_volume": 49751.2, "trend": 11.394333, "fair_value": 10.718099, "relative_strength": -1.846326, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.373774, "energy": 38.232894, "activity_lines": [ 12.116, 11.908, 11.688952, 11.559011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.99, "volume": 27760, "typical_volume": 50199.15, "trend": 11.43, "fair_value": 10.730946, "relative_strength": -1.692651, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.188083, "energy": 41.55332, "activity_lines": [ 12.095333, 11.949818, 11.732286, 11.597441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.98, "volume": 12511, "typical_volume": 50725.4, "trend": 11.465333, "fair_value": 10.743437, "relative_strength": -6.331642, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.367508, "energy": 28.617814, "activity_lines": [ 12.071333, 11.980909, 11.771143, 11.632925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }