{ "ticker": { "uuid": "766bfd4d-c670-4932-9f9c-7a5192287b7d", "symbol": "TFMAMA", "name": "Thai President Foods Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 52.72, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.809, "architecture_energy": 12.44, "architecture_maturity": 25.029, "architecture_confidence": 62.965, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.05, "rotation_up": 20.11, "upward_expansion": 13.43, "deceleration": 54.98, "rotation_down": 38.61, "downward_expansion": 61.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 186.433333, 186.427273, 186.587042, 186.644756 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 187.0, "trend_reference": 186.766806, "distance_from_trend": 0.001249, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 192.753835, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029851, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.849048, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.000164, "excess_performance": -0.192161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007576, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029851, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002086, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14849, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012436, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.000164, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.680982, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30100, "relative_activity": 1.677815, "balance": 2.680982, "dry_up": 1.195652, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010703, "annualized_volatility": 0.043031, "from_high_reference": -0.045298, "from_low_reference": 0.016296 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 186.766806, "fair_value_reference": 192.753835, 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187.251897, 188.27734 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 185.979996, "volume": 7900, "typical_volume": 15610.0, "trend": 189.539785, "fair_value": 192.023896, "relative_strength": -16.24876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.868402, "energy": 32.133196, "activity_lines": [ 186.342724, 186.537578, 187.051691, 188.032869 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 187.463882, "volume": 11000, "typical_volume": 15780.0, "trend": 189.343465, "fair_value": 192.055258, "relative_strength": -13.649411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.270372, "energy": 21.899107, "activity_lines": [ 186.771402, 186.65449, 187.01636, 187.89894 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 186.474625, "volume": 17000, "typical_volume": 15555.0, "trend": 189.096151, "fair_value": 192.094982, "relative_strength": -15.884906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.466392, "energy": 22.464177, "activity_lines": [ 186.672476, 186.60053, 186.903303, 187.713853 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 185.979996, "volume": 17700, "typical_volume": 15255.0, "trend": 188.799374, "fair_value": 192.115442, "relative_strength": -16.092678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.960514, "energy": 28.082658, "activity_lines": [ 186.44165, 186.474625, 186.764336, 187.512811 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 188.0, "volume": 92000, "typical_volume": 19620.0, "trend": 188.602906, "fair_value": 192.145869, "relative_strength": -15.771623, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.465497, "energy": 12.030048, "activity_lines": [ 186.950108, 186.742973, 186.838948, 187.461238 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 186.5, "volume": 25000, "typical_volume": 20780.0, "trend": 188.389414, "fair_value": 192.175625, "relative_strength": -17.137131, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.076925, "energy": 16.724393, "activity_lines": [ 186.856875, 186.728845, 186.782283, 187.325567 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 187.0, "volume": 22700, "typical_volume": 20320.0, "trend": 188.192587, "fair_value": 192.21455, "relative_strength": -17.991886, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.0274, "energy": 9.722288, "activity_lines": [ 186.895641, 186.814159, 186.791959, 187.235928 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 188.0, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 19810.0, "trend": 188.06207, "fair_value": 192.247958, "relative_strength": -17.773566, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.419902, "energy": 8.869502, "activity_lines": [ 187.298666, 187.035766, 186.899082, 187.223503 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 186.0, "volume": 11300, "typical_volume": 18935.0, "trend": 187.864886, "fair_value": 192.283454, "relative_strength": -18.586615, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.362223, "energy": 11.884781, "activity_lines": [ 186.933333, 186.874995, 186.813176, 187.090466 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 187.0, "volume": 3400, "typical_volume": 18460.0, "trend": 187.668059, "fair_value": 192.337286, "relative_strength": -16.457162, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.223131, "energy": 10.443837, "activity_lines": [ 186.9, 186.913666, 186.824768, 187.034667 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 186.5, "volume": 7400, "typical_volume": 18505.0, "trend": 187.520517, "fair_value": 192.399838, "relative_strength": -14.431027, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.97363, "energy": 14.057567, "activity_lines": [ 186.766667, 186.851875, 186.788595, 186.959308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 186.0, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 17945.0, "trend": 187.356308, "fair_value": 192.44726, "relative_strength": -17.700317, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.342112, "energy": 26.792771, "activity_lines": [ 186.466667, 186.68972, 186.707037, 186.86121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 186.5, "volume": 25800, "typical_volume": 17805.0, "trend": 187.208766, "fair_value": 192.509812, "relative_strength": -17.385532, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.686922, "energy": 24.406913, "activity_lines": [ 186.4, 186.645091, 186.682424, 186.805964 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 186.5, "volume": 26800, "typical_volume": 18280.0, "trend": 187.077711, "fair_value": 192.566402, "relative_strength": -17.780766, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.782135, "energy": 23.692637, "activity_lines": [ 186.433333, 186.6, 186.662402, 186.760238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 186.0, "volume": 20300, "typical_volume": 18010.0, "trend": 186.92999, "fair_value": 192.625749, "relative_strength": -17.743421, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.295593, "energy": 29.062187, "activity_lines": [ 186.266667, 186.454545, 186.59935, 186.690708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 186.0, "volume": 8600, "typical_volume": 17525.0, "trend": 186.782268, "fair_value": 192.691059, "relative_strength": -16.32038, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.251666, "energy": 24.387967, "activity_lines": [ 186.166667, 186.345455, 186.543269, 186.630709 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 187.0, "volume": 30100, "typical_volume": 17940.0, "trend": 186.766806, "fair_value": 192.753835, "relative_strength": -14.849048, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.80881, "energy": 12.439796, "activity_lines": [ 186.433333, 186.427273, 186.587042, 186.644756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }