{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76797964-524f-442f-8ff9-b1616134c663", "symbol": "300284", "name": "JSTI Group", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.359, "architecture_energy": 43.153, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 63.18, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.23, "rotation_up": 27.13, "upward_expansion": 18.81, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 42.34, "downward_expansion": 68.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.383333, 5.353818, 5.659235, 5.974336 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.39, "trend_reference": 6.470089, "distance_from_trend": -0.166936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.701076, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.300098, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.176088, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.293578, "excess_performance": -0.300978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166936, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12275, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.300098, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183311, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.301761, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034527, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.293578, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.666316, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80895747, "relative_activity": 1.606451, "balance": 0.666316, "dry_up": 1.504323, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075534, "annualized_volatility": 0.281998, "from_high_reference": -0.463682, "from_low_reference": 0.086694 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.470089, "fair_value_reference": 7.701076, "structural_low": 4.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.00531, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.025456, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.342437, "worst_return": -0.163004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.044248, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.06178, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.927778, "worst_return": -0.217463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.02543, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.153542, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.842478, "worst_return": -0.235101, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -72.917684, "energy": 88.936035, "activity_lines": [ 5.254, 5.532775, 5.955, 6.311756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.29, "volume": 78127473, "typical_volume": 46719276.85, "trend": 6.718756, "fair_value": 7.711093, "relative_strength": -31.851323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.685649, "energy": 83.98975, "activity_lines": [ 5.226667, 5.437738, 5.85894, 6.213815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.18, "volume": 71493714, "typical_volume": 47493509.9, "trend": 6.630089, "fair_value": 7.706802, "relative_strength": -32.537443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.346121, "energy": 70.205516, "activity_lines": [ 5.202667, 5.350759, 5.762213, 6.114541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.62, "volume": 72494698, "typical_volume": 48616304.4, "trend": 6.553089, "fair_value": 7.704957, "relative_strength": -24.575756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.79638, "energy": 55.509652, "activity_lines": [ 5.35, 5.368093, 5.717724, 6.049374 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.39, "volume": 80895747, "typical_volume": 50356794.75, "trend": 6.470089, "fair_value": 7.701076, "relative_strength": -30.176088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.358697, "energy": 43.152731, "activity_lines": [ 5.383333, 5.353818, 5.659235, 5.974336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }