{ "ticker": { "uuid": "769254bb-8c56-41f3-8d4a-ec3365cf5127", "symbol": "WTEF", "name": "WisdomTree US Efficient Core UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.753, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.61, "architecture_energy": 40.249, "architecture_maturity": 49.059, "architecture_confidence": 73.202, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.77, "rotation_up": 42.74, "upward_expansion": 71.68, "deceleration": 91.19, "rotation_down": 27.72, "downward_expansion": 9.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 3197.85, 3194.536364, 3165.557143, 3110.730645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3272.25, "trend_reference": 3044.216667, "distance_from_trend": 0.074907, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2668.288698, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226348, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.491033, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129628, "excess_performance": 0.078393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074907, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027072, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.226348, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042665, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00491, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014091, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129628, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.248232, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2142, "relative_activity": 0.633119, "balance": 0.248232, "dry_up": 1.662898, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028027, "annualized_volatility": 0.129678, "from_high_reference": -0.174539, "from_low_reference": 0.2235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3044.216667, "fair_value_reference": 2668.288698, "structural_low": 2744.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.002206, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025237, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.011752, "worst_return": -0.025449, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.037747, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.012059, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.072064, "worst_return": 0.003431, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.075742, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.021389, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.075742, "worst_return": 0.075742, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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3460.55, "trend": 3025.4, "fair_value": 2660.820485, "relative_strength": -1.223353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.468168, "energy": 38.162471, "activity_lines": [ 3182.583333, 3186.581818, 3141.757143, 3087.952688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3139.75, "volume": 958, "typical_volume": 3474.6, "trend": 3033.541667, "fair_value": 2664.123448, "relative_strength": -3.302685, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.522761, "energy": 28.625299, "activity_lines": [ 3166.85, 3178.554545, 3147.95119, 3095.330108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3272.25, "volume": 2142, "typical_volume": 3383.25, "trend": 3044.216667, "fair_value": 2668.288698, "relative_strength": 0.491033, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.609967, "energy": 40.248505, "activity_lines": [ 3197.85, 3194.536364, 3165.557143, 3110.730645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }