{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "76957beb-2a69-4ebb-92ce-cdd15518149a",
    "symbol": "TLF",
    "name": "Tandy Leather Factory Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.958,
    "architecture_energy": 30.659,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.788,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.3,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.49,
        "rotation_up": 54.18,
        "upward_expansion": 78.47,
        "deceleration": 52.08,
        "rotation_down": 17.37,
        "downward_expansion": 2.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.405333,
        2.389727,
        2.373571,
        2.362494
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.45,
    "trend_reference": 2.339231,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047353,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.377293,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030584,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.49542,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.016326,
    "excess_performance": -0.171128,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047353,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044532,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030584,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007769,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060747,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016326,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.736711,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 179939,
      "relative_activity": 1.237476,
      "balance": 2.736711,
      "dry_up": 0.502747,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057457,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.161488,
      "from_high_reference": -0.098842,
      "from_low_reference": 0.262467
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.339231,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.377293,
      "structural_low": 2.2,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.013274,
        "positive_rate": 0.409091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029371,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.137767,
        "worst_return": -0.288235,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.027481,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.091714,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.084982,
        "worst_return": -0.091518,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.032012,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.091286,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.082243,
        "worst_return": -0.126623,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.056962,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.225022,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.010776,
        "worst_return": -0.063892,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.224841,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.016667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
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        "return": 0.069805,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
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        "return": -0.109826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
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        "return": -0.07541,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.157303,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 2.375219,
        "relative_strength": -10.315464,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 195047.7,
        "trend": 2.293231,
        "fair_value": 2.375244,
        "relative_strength": -11.350248,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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          2.373333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.395,
        "volume": 44833,
        "typical_volume": 171702.2,
        "trend": 2.305597,
        "fair_value": 2.375688,
        "relative_strength": -6.815968,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.502633,
        "energy": 31.689202,
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          2.385,
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          2.358571,
          2.345765
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.39,
        "volume": 17197,
        "typical_volume": 145885.25,
        "trend": 2.31729,
        "fair_value": 2.375894,
        "relative_strength": -4.930615,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.515589,
        "energy": 32.539277,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.389333,
          2.372273,
          2.362286,
          2.35121
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.37,
        "volume": 50445,
        "typical_volume": 143724.3,
        "trend": 2.327812,
        "fair_value": 2.376284,
        "relative_strength": -5.552621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.466081,
        "energy": 24.333715,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.384333,
          2.373818,
          2.364238,
          2.354611
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.45,
        "volume": 179939,
        "typical_volume": 145408.1,
        "trend": 2.339231,
        "fair_value": 2.377293,
        "relative_strength": -6.49542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.958328,
        "energy": 30.659282,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.405333,
          2.389727,
          2.373571,
          2.362494
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}