{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7697dc66-5180-4185-99af-e44780f77a14",
    "symbol": "CIF",
    "name": "iShares Global Infrastructure Index ETF Common Class",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 58.598,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.68,
    "architecture_energy": 18.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.682,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.62,
        "rotation_up": 23.97,
        "upward_expansion": 58.72,
        "deceleration": 88.31,
        "rotation_down": 31.01,
        "downward_expansion": 22.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        70.918001,
        71.535939,
        71.051082,
        69.876601
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 69.25,
    "trend_reference": 68.040845,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017771,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.441918,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320509,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.539516,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.083965,
    "excess_performance": -0.036456,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017771,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056546,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.320509,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110626,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045395,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091539,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083965,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.783784,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 145600,
      "relative_activity": 1.02391,
      "balance": 0.783784,
      "dry_up": 0.873769,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025869,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138881,
      "from_high_reference": -0.061144,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241013
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.040845,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.441918,
      "structural_low": 62.612078,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.011316,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005688,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.078491,
        "worst_return": -0.076201,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.02177,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.647059,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024437,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.190592,
        "worst_return": -0.131635,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.050764,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002756,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.006554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.124477,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076281,
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        "best_return": 0.251005,
        "worst_return": 0.050281,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-06",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.015022,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "return": -0.000208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08726,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.053456,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.069948,
        "energy": 72.749984,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 68.130684,
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        "typical_volume": 182282.6,
        "trend": 62.957506,
        "fair_value": 49.139355,
        "relative_strength": 1.11387,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 193689.25,
        "trend": 63.608148,
        "fair_value": 49.571712,
        "relative_strength": 4.614357,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 201550.8,
        "trend": 63.89596,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 70.088921,
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        "relative_strength": 2.114384,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 157300,
        "typical_volume": 200905.0,
        "trend": 64.399321,
        "fair_value": 50.222487,
        "relative_strength": 1.164267,
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        "direction": 64.60498,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 70.44677,
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        "typical_volume": 194355.0,
        "trend": 64.662724,
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        "relative_strength": 2.742374,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 15800,
        "typical_volume": 187205.0,
        "trend": 64.976913,
        "fair_value": 50.66046,
        "relative_strength": 2.356911,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 4.72973,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 66.076714,
        "fair_value": 51.355515,
        "relative_strength": 2.643145,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 51.583833,
        "relative_strength": 3.324043,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 110700,
        "typical_volume": 152430.0,
        "trend": 66.880379,
        "fair_value": 51.803777,
        "relative_strength": 2.22218,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.113981,
        "energy": 65.300047,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.422362,
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          69.18089
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.910004,
        "volume": 133800,
        "typical_volume": 151635.0,
        "trend": 67.292615,
        "fair_value": 52.030613,
        "relative_strength": 3.2044,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.812034,
        "energy": 57.315107,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.563335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.5,
        "volume": 106900,
        "typical_volume": 141230.0,
        "trend": 67.703485,
        "fair_value": 52.243929,
        "relative_strength": 0.251547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.217456,
        "energy": 38.17329,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.862668,
          71.992542,
          71.109519,
          69.776826
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.25,
        "volume": 145600,
        "typical_volume": 142200.0,
        "trend": 68.040845,
        "fair_value": 52.441918,
        "relative_strength": -4.539516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.679761,
        "energy": 18.472905,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.918001,
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          71.051082,
          69.876601
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}