{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "769be4bb-e2e5-403f-aac0-32a9b12314c1",
    "symbol": "ACWI",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI All Country World UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.869,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.302,
    "architecture_energy": 59.491,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.285,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.586,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.05,
        "rotation_up": 49.76,
        "upward_expansion": 81.03,
        "deceleration": 71.43,
        "rotation_down": 29.24,
        "downward_expansion": 10.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        601.651318,
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        579.916873
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 613.22998,
    "trend_reference": 565.345327,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0847,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 474.211985,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293156,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.197146,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.139769,
    "excess_performance": -0.031123,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0847,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045169,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293156,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029609,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031971,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015489,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139769,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.255381,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11590,
      "relative_activity": 1.711434,
      "balance": 3.255381,
      "dry_up": 1.256663,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019272,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115013,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00231,
      "from_low_reference": 0.252077
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 565.345327,
      "fair_value_reference": 474.211985,
      "structural_low": 511.119995,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.011569,
        "positive_rate": 0.65,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006117,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.059304,
        "worst_return": -0.079505,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.029051,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009878,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.095495,
        "worst_return": -0.14616,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.079615,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013912,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.216687,
        "worst_return": -0.001146,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 597.789978,
        "volume": 6490,
        "typical_volume": 7065.2,
        "trend": 560.886326,
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        "relative_strength": -2.309965,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 592.609985,
        "volume": 6506,
        "typical_volume": 6686.75,
        "trend": 563.003326,
        "fair_value": 472.639677,
        "relative_strength": -3.737248,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.529829,
        "energy": 47.862154,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 613.22998,
        "volume": 11590,
        "typical_volume": 6772.1,
        "trend": 565.345327,
        "fair_value": 474.211985,
        "relative_strength": -3.197146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.302409,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}